by Tom Stryker
Friday, Nov 12, 2021The big boys on Sunday are getting down to crunch time. There are a number of teams that will be playing their 10th game of the season and some need to make a move. Time is running out and the margin for error is very slim.
This week, I took a look at game 10 teams that were hovering around the .500 mark – at 5-4 SU and 4-5 SU. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that those teams will be extremely focused on winning. The last thing a 5-4 SU team wants to do is fall back to 5-5 SU. Obviously, a 4-5 SU team will be desperately trying to grab the “W” in order to even up their record. A couple of outstanding technical situations were discovered. Here is the best one:
Since 1980, PLAY AGAINST any game 10 guest that holds a 5-4 SU record provided they check in off a straight up win.
41-Year ATS Record = 40-18-5 ATS for 68.9 percent
This Week’s Play on Team = NEW ENGLAND and LAS VEGAS
Honestly, given the basic parameters, I thought a 5-4 SU team that is on the road and off a straight up victory would ride the wave of momentum and win again in order to get to 6-4 SU. As it often does, the Team Stryker Database proved me wrong.
There is one tightener that can be added to the general system that makes it more effective. If our “play against” side enters off the comforts of a home game and is lined up against a foe that holds a won/loss percentage of .400 or higher, this game 10 situation falls to a pitiful 4-24-1 ATS. Please note: Since 1990, this special tightener is on a ridiculous 1-17-1 ATS run including a jaw-dropping 0-17-1 ATS provided this is not a Monday night game. The Raiders are the only team that applies to that perfect tightener.
Good luck with the Silver and Black on Sunday!
