NFL: Los Angeles Rams VS New Orleans Saints Prediction and Picks 11/20/2022

Game Time:  1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 20th, 2022

Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana

Where to Watch:  FOX

FanDuel: point spread: Saints -3; O/U 38.5

BetMGM:  Saints -3; O/U 39

Caesars:  Saints -3; O/U 39

Rams: 3-6, last place NFC West

Saints: 3-7, last place NFC South

An awkward NFC battle of teams that, while not mathematically eliminated, are pretty much out of any form of contention.  It has been a rough year for both of these squads… Injuries, possible rebuilds… possible throwing in the towel.  It’s sad considering the Los Angeles Rams are the defending Super Bowl Champions.  The Rams made a mistake that is made by almost every Super Bowl Champ of the last few decades (not the Patriots)... they resigned all the important players at larger salaries… causing them to actually lose several of the nearly important players… causing them to start a MORE expensive team that is much thinner on multiple units.  A big mistake was giving 30 million guaranteed for WR Allen Robinson II… That money should have gone to a new Left tackle since the Rams HOF left tackle retired. Keeping DT Aaron Donald is a no brainer… that was a worthwhile expense.  Up and down decisions across the board destroyed the Ram’s salary cap.  Fortunately changes can be made this offseason while the Rams reshuffle.  The New Orleans Saints have been reshuffling to little effect for a few seasons now.  The days of Sean Payton and Drew Brees are long gone.  The Saints are not good this season… and have no real QB to build around anywhere on the roster… maybe they will draft one?

The Los Angeles Rams are rudderless.  WR Cooper Kupp, the Rams Super Bowl MVP and best offensive option is out with injury and the season is done… because of this QB Matt Stafford SHOULD NOT be put into any more games this season.  He has a bum elbow… let him get the rest.  The result of course is QB Daniel Wolford trying to hit passes to WR Allen Robinson II.  The Rams will most likely not be favored ATS again anywhere on the schedule.  They lost their last game to the Arizona Cardinals 27-17… They are on a hard 3-games losing streak. In the loss QB Matt Stafford did not play… in his stead QB Daniel Wolford went 24-36 for 212 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT.  Wolford took a loss to a Cardinals team that also was working with a backup QB. Rams Running backs Cam Akers and Darrell Henderson JR BOTH have not been doing a great job either getting yards or exciting the Coach and Team.  This offseason BOTH guys should be cut or traded and new guys should be brought in.  TE Tyler Higbee was the leading receiver for the game (Cooper left the game with injury early and had -1 yards on 3 receptions.).

The New Orleans Saints are on a 2-game losing streak.  They lost their last game to the lowly Pittsburgh Steelers 20-10. The Saints used QB Andy Dalton who was good for 17-27 passing with 174 yards 1 TD and 2 INT… so not good for anything.  They also snuck in QB Taysom Hill who went 0-1 for 0 and 0… The Saints have reached a place where Taysom Hill should play halfback, scatback, fullback… whatever… just not QB. They aren’t fooling anyone.  RB Alvin Kamara had 8 carries for 26 yards… The other three ball carriers combined for 7 rushes and 3 total yards.  The Saints… Aint.  For the Saints the season can not finish fast enough. For the Saints the rebuild can not start fast enough.

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RECENT FORM

LAR: 3-6, 2-6-1 ATS, 3-6 O/U, 1-2 on the road.

NOS: 3-7, 3-7 ATS, 5-5 O/U, 2-3 in home games.

The Rams are 29th in scoring with 16.4 points per game, 31st in total yards with 282.7, 21st in passing yards with 214.6 per game, 32nd in rushing yards with 68.1.  The Rams are the worst offense in the NFL.

The Saints are 17th in scoring with 22.2 points per game, 5th in total yards with 358.4 per game, 9th in passing yards with 237.7 per game, and 15th in rushing yards with 120.7 per game.  The Saints offense is not terrible.

The Rams defense is 6th in defense of total yards with 310.8 allowed per game, 17th in defense of passing yards with 214.7 allowed per game, 4th in rushing yards with 96.1 allowed per game, and 18th in points allowed per game with 22.2.

The Saints defense is 14th in total yards allowed with 326.4 per game, 6th in passing yards allowed with 195.9 per game, 22nd in rushing yards allowed with 130.5 per game, and 26th in points allowed per game with 24.7. 

Our prediction for Sunday, November 20th is… Rams 26 - Saints 18

 

Yes, the Rams will finally win one.  QB Andy Dalton is an interception machine… The Rams cornerbacks are good enough to capitalize on that.  Plus Daniel Wolford will be the best QB on the field as odd as that sounds.  Bet on the Rams.

 

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The Rams are 10-6 ATS versus New Orleans in New Orleans since 1992.

The Rams are 19-14 ATS in all games versus the Saints since 1992.

The Saints are 9-13 ATS  in home games the last 3 seasons.

Rams: QB John Wolford, RB Darrell Henderson JR, WR Allen Robinson II, WR Ben Skowronek, WR ?, TE Tyler Higbee, LT Ty Nsekhe, LG Coleman Shelton, C Brian Allen, RG Chandler Brewer, RT Rob Havenstein

Saints: QB Andy Dalton, RB Alvin Kamara, WR Kevin White, TE Taysom Hill, TE Adam Trautman, TE Juwan Johnson, LT James Hurst, LG Lewis Kidd, C Josh Andrews, RG Cesar Ruiz, RT Ryan Ramczyk

It’s a DOME!  Exactly what every NFL team needs to play in…so we can stop having disaster games in snow and rain.