NFL: Los Angeles Chargers VS San Francisco 49ers Prediction and Picks 11/13/2022

by James Q

Thursday, Nov 10, 2022

NFL:  Los Angeles Chargers VS San Francisco 49ers Prediction and Picks 11/13/2022 

Game Time:  8:20 PM ET, Sunday, November 13th, 2022
Venue: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clarita, California
Where to Watch:  NBC

Odds at USA Sportsbooks

FanDuel: point spread: 49ers -7; O/U 45.5
DraftKings:  49ers -7; O/U 45.5
Caesars:  49ers -7; O/U 45.5

Season Record

Chargers: 5-3, 2nd place AFC West
49ers: 4-4, 2nd place NFC West

An inter conference matchup between West Coast NFL teams based in California. Both of these teams started the season poorly and both have recovered… though not all the way. If you were to talk to the media , both will tell you about how there is plenty of season left and their team has a Super Bowl bound roster.  If you were to talk to a fan from either… they would tell you that the team had early struggles to get over… and now that that is done they will soar to and through the postseason.  Maybe both are right, maybe both are wrong.  The great betting opportunity is found in that Vegas spread of 7 points.  Let’s check the numbers and make a solid bet.

The Los Angeles Chargers won their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 20-17.. It was a win against a small 2.5 point spread.  The Falcons are also not a good team… The result is that the Chargers have completed the rescue mission for the season… They have won 4 of their last 5 games…. They are 2 games above .500 after falling 2 games below .500 in their first 3 games.  The Chargers offense while terrible in the run game has slowly risen their numbers in everything else. QB Justin Herbert is still the heir apparent to NFL QB royalty.. Big arm.. Great stats.  Winning Big is the next thing to master.

The San Francisco 49ers have had the oddest year of any NFl odd duck in recent memory.  The team dumped QB Jimmy Garappolo in order to go forward with QB Trey Lance.. Who is unproven and hasn’t played significant football since his high school years.  Then oddly the team resigned QB Jimmy G as a backup to the kid who took his job.  OK huh?.. Big deal but no big deal if everyone is mature…. Then QB Trey Lance broke his ankle and will miss the entire season… Enter QB Jimmy G just a few games since his last start and his cutting and his resigning… and now his re-establishment as starter.  Wow… That can only bee seen as stupid since they already had Jimmy G and he was already a quarterback with a great winning percentage in the games he played!  It gets even worse… The 49ers gave up picks to get that handful of losing games out of Trey Lance over two seasons.  Huh?  That leaves the 49ers as win now (because they always had a great roster) or get everyone fired. The 49ers beat the Los Angeles Rams 31-14 in their last game… they then took a bye week.  The 49ers come into this game rested and ready to show off their new old quarterback and very tough defense.

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 Los Angeles Chargers VS San Francisco 49ers Preview and Analysis

RECENT FORM
LAC: 5-3, 5-3 ATS, 4-4 O/U, 3-1 in away games.
SF4: 4-4, 4-4 ATS, 3-5 O/U, 2-1 in home games.

Offensive Analysis

The Chargers are 13th in scoring with 23 points per game, 16th in total yards with 354.2 per game, 4th in passing yards with 275.1 per game, 28th in rushing yards with 89.1 per game.

The 49ers are 19th in total points with 22 per game, 21st in total yards with 356.6 per game, 11th in passing yards with 237.1 per game, 15th in rushing yards with 119.5 per game.

Defensive Analysis

The Chargers defense is 21st in defense of total yards with 352.3 allowed per game, 14th in passing yards with 206.8 per game allowed, 29th in rushing yards with 145.5 per game, 30th in defense of scoring with 25.8 allowed per game.

The 49ers defense is 1st in total yards with 285.9 per game allowed, 8th in passing yards allowed with 199.3 per game, 1st in rushing yards allowed with 86.6 per game, and 6th in defense of points with 18.4 allowed per game.

 Los Angeles Chargers VS San Francisco 49ers Prediction

Our prediction for Sunday, November 13th is… Chargers 22 - 49ers 10
 
Bet on the Chargers.  The Chargers have recently come alive with the 49ers still floating in questions?... Jimmy G suffered big losses to Atlanta and Kansas City recently… The Chargers have a better offense than Atlanta and an almost as passing offense as Kansas City.
 
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NFL Betting Trends

The Chargers are 3-0 vs San Fran at San Fran since 1992.
The Chargers are 6-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less the last 3 seasons.
The 49ers are 1 OVER and 5 UNDER as a favorite this season.

Starting Lineups

Chargers: QB Justin Herbert, RB Austin Ekeler, WR DeAndre Carter, WR Joshua Palmer, WR Michael Brandy, TE Tre’McKitty, LT Jamaree Salyer, LG Matt Feiler, C Corey Linsley, RG Zion Johnson, RT Trey Pipkins III

49ers: QB JImmy Garapolo, RB Jeff Wilson Jr, RB Christian McCaffrey, WR Ray-Ray McCloud III, WR Brandon Aiyuk, TE George Kittle, LT Trent Williams, LG Aaron Banks, C Jake Brendel, RG Spencer Burford, RT Mike McGlinchey

Weather

Sunny. 59*, Humidity 67%, wind 9 mph.


James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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