NFL: Kansas City Chiefs VS Los Angeles Chargers Prediction and Picks 11/20/2022

Game Time:  8:20 PM ET, Sunday, November 20th, 2022

Venue: SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles, California

Where to Watch:  NBC

FanDuel: point spread: Chiefs -4.5; O/U 51.5

BetMGM:  Chiefs -5.5; O/U 52

Caesars:  Chiefs -5; O/U 52

Chiefs: 7-2, 1st place AFC West

Chargers: 5-4, 2nd place AFC West

An AFC West battle we have all been waiting for.  This season is the first in NFL history that will require each team to navigate a 17 game schedule before the playoffs start, for several teams like the Steelers and Texans that just means an extra loss in the history books… But for teams like the Chiefs and the Chargers… That means an extra game to stuff the stats and set some records.  The Chiefs are often cited as the obvious Super Bowl favorite in the league despite having not gotten another trophy since their first of the Patrick Mahomes era 3 seasons ago in 2020.  The Chiefs have also lost one since.  Still 2022-23 means another shot for QB Patrick Mahomes to put his stamp on this decade.  The Los Angeles Chargers have a quarterback that wants a similar impact to Patrick Mahomes because he has similar talents.  Chargers QB Justin Herbert has a huge arm and some leadership ability… not to mention the fun intangibles of creativity and big pass ability.  The Chargers started the season shaky to say the least… They also have been badly bit by the injury bug.  Still they have won 4 of their last 6 games to lift them to a winning record and give them a shot at attacking the next 8 games with an eye toward the postseason.  The Great Betting Opportunity here depends on whether you think the spread is too small given the Chiefs talents… or whether you think the Chargers have what it takes to win outright.?

The Kansas City Chiefs are a pure offensive juggernaut… even after losing their best receiver and possibly the league’s best receiver in the offseason.  The Chiefs lead the league in points per game and in passing yards per game.  That is all Patrick Mahomes.  They are on a 3-game winning streak… They are 7-2 on the season, but… but?  They are only 3-5-1 ATS.  The Chiefs won their last game over the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-17… resulting in a PUSH because of the 10 point spread.  Patrick Mahomes went 26 of 35 passing for 331 yards, 4 TDs, and 1 INT.  He hit everybody… Kelce for 88 yards, Scantling for 60 yards, Toney for 57 yards, McKinnon for 56 yards, Schuster for 33 yards… And 4 other receivers got a touch too.  The running game in Kansas City is not the strongest with Pacheco carrying 16 times for 82 yards and Mahomes scrambles being the second best thing for 39 yards.  The run in KC simply supports the pass… it keeps the corners and linebackers honest.

The Los Angeles Chargers lost their last game to the San Francisco 49ers 22-16.  The Chargers do not have very impressive numbers on offense OR on defense.  Still the talking heads and the constantly disappointed fan base keep pointing to the injury absences as the main excuse for the average to below average everything.  The Chargers have been missing WR Mike Williams and LB Joey Bosa… probably the top weapon on each side of the ball… Their eventual return will be the debut of a much better team… but when will that happen? In the loss QB Justin Herbert was 21 of 35 for 196 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT.  RB Austin Ekeler came up empty with only 24 yards on six carries…his 7 receptions for 39 yards technically makes him productive… but much much more is needed for wins in the NFL.  

Kyle Hunter  is 78-37  in the last 60 days of the NFL for a profit of $36,850 with  BIG Winners everywhere! Get Kyle Hunter’s picks!!....  Follow a handicapper soon!  They are available right now at the Shop Picks Page, where you can find all of the Best Bets from our champion sports handicappers.  And stay with BigAl.com for all your favorite sports… MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAF, NCAAB.  Remember winning a wager is more fun than making the wager… more profitable too!!

 

RECENT FORM

KCC: 7-2, 3-5-1 ATS, 4-5 O/U, 3-1 on the road.

LAC: 5-4, 6-3 ATS, 4-5 O/U, 2-2 in home games.

The Chiefs are 1st in scoring with 30 points per game, 3rd in total yards with 423.1 per game, 1st in passing yards with 313.9 per game, and 21st in rushing yards with 109.2 per game.

The Chargers are 16th in scoring with 22.2 points per game, 21st in total yards with 350.2 per game, 5th in passing yards with 265.3 per game, and 30th in rushing yards with 84.9 per game.

The Chiefs defense is 16th in defense of total yards with 347.4 per game allowed, 25th in defense of passing yards with 248.4 per game allowed, 5th in defense of rushing yards with 99 per game allowed, and 19th in defense of points scored with 22.9 per game allowed.

The Chargers defense is 21st in total yards allowed with 356.1 per game, 13th in passing yards allowed with 209.3 per game, 30th in rushing yards allowed with 146.8 per game, and 29th in points allowed with 25.3 per game.

Our prediction for Sunday, November 20th is… Chiefs 30 - Chargers 20

 

Bet on the Chiefs ATS.  The Chargers are still hobbled across the board… and hopefully the Chiefs understand that they CAN run against the Chargers to keep Justin Herbert off the field through time of possession.  It should be easy.

 

Don't miss our champion handicappers' Free NFL Picks and Premium Selections every day here at Bigal.com.  Just click on Shop Picks for our Best Bets, or click on Shop Subscriptions to join for a week or a month.  And if you enjoyed this Chiefs/Chargers preview, be sure to bookmark Bigal.com for our daily Game Previews and Predictions.

  

The Chargers are 3-1 ATS versus Kansas City the last 3 seasons.

The Chiefs are 1-5 ATS versus conference opponents.

The Chargers are 5-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points the last 3 seasons.

Chiefs: QB Patrick Mahomes, RB Isiah Pacheco, WR JuJu Smith Schuster, WR Marquez Valdes Scantling, TE Noah Grey, TE Travis Kelce, LT Orlando Brown, LG Joe Thuney, C Creed Humphrey, RG Trey Smith, RT Andrew Wylie

Chargers: QB Justin Herbert, RB Austin Ekeler, WR DeAndre Carter, WR Joshus Palmer, WR Michael Bandy, TE Gerald Everett, Lt Jamaree Salyer, LG Matt Feiler, C Corey Linsley, RG Zion Johnson, RT Foster Sarell

Sunny. 78* during the day… will dip into the high 60’s during the game  Humidity 17%... wind 5 mph… but no one cares because the beautiful new stadium in Los Angeles HAS A ROOF… Buffalo doesn’t.  Think about that… and how it affects your gambling.