NFL Game Two Hungry Underdog

by Tom Stryker

Getting out of the gate in the NFL can be tricky.  Free agency has changed the game and, at times, pro teams that were giant killers a year ago can take on a completely different DNA the next season.
 
Thankfully, with the help of my pro football database, the same one that was featured in the December 13th, 2010, issue of the ESPN Insider magazine, I’ve been able to isolate and profit from a number of early season technical situations that have performed very well.
 
This week’s NFL system focuses on teams coming off a straight up loss in game one.  When you only play a 17-game season, each week is important.  In my opinion, the season opener carries a little more weight.  A win can set the tone for the entire year and, unfortunately, a loss can do the same.  While banging away at my pro database and researching teams off losses in their first contest of the season, I stumbled across one profitable situation that really stood the test of time.  Take a look.
 
Since 1980, PLAY ON any game two NFL road underdog priced competitively at +7 or less provided they enter off a straight up loss and their opponent is playing their second game of the season and off a straight up loss as well.

 42-Year ATS Record = 50-28-2 ATS for 64.1 percent
 
This Week’s Play = ARIZONA

The Cardinals make the trek to Sin City hungry off their embarrassing 44-21 home loss to the Chiefs and they’ll look to right the ship matched up against a Raiders group that returns home off a 24-19 road loss to the Chargers.  There is one tightener that can be added to this situation that really makes it pop.  If our “play on” side arrives off a blowout blemish of seven points or more, this system cruises to a money-making 33-15 ATS for 68.7 percent.  Arizona fell to Kansas City by 23 points and head coach Kliff Kingsbury and the boys fit this situation perfectly.
 
The Redbirds will carry the freight as our NFL Game Two Hungry Underdog.  Good luck with Arizona.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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