NFL Football: Houston Texans vs Chicago Bears Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/25/2022

 

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, August 25th, 2022

Venue:  Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois

Where to Watch: CBS, Paramount +

DraftKings:  Spread:  Bears -3, Texans +3; O/U 40.5

BetMGM:  Spread:  

PointsBet:  Spread:  

 

Texans: 0-1-1, AFC South

Bears: 1-1 NFC North

An inter-conference matchup between the perennially struggling Bears and the wounded and struggling Texans.  It would be great if the Texans were more than a team that hasn’t lost every game but hasn’t won any games… Yet that is who they are.  They tied.  They may have even celebrated a tie.  Football is less for it.  The Bears are still playing a game where they are teaching QB Justin Fields how to play QB in the NFL during actual NFL games.  The results are tepid.  The Great Betting opportunity here will be found in the defensive numbers… as neither of these teams have much offense to brag about.

The Houston Texans have won against the spread TWICE in two games.  It has been great to bet on Houston… BTW they have not yet won a game.  They lost to Denver 16-9, covering an obscene 10.5 spread… and tied with Indianapolis 20-20!... Covering a 7 point spread.  The Texans do not win football games… but in the world of gambling they simply can not be written off.  Also they have achieved this magic with terrible offensive numbers AND terrible defensive numbers.  Both games hit the UNDER, so no matter how bad the defensive numbers are… they aren’t really that bad.  Of course, Denver and Indy are simply not the cream of the league at the moment.  QB Davis Mills is considered a nobody and his stats bear that out… You Can Not put your faith in him to orchestrate a winning drive. Still the Texans for a BAD team have come through as a Great Betting Opportunity.. The trick will be comparing the Bears to the Colts and the Broncos.

The Chicago Bears also have had two consecutive UNDERS!  The Chicago Bears are 1-1 ATS.  They beat the San Francisco 49ers with Trey Lance at quarterback… that guy is finished BTW… we wish him well but next season he will be a quarterback that has started 6 games over the last 4 years including two years of college… and he will have to work back from injury.  His career is done.  But I digress, the Bears have Justin Fields at quarterback and that guy is still trying to prove himself and may… maybe… may get there.  Justin has a strong running game in RB David Montgomery… He will need to provide passing to create a winning team.  The anticipation may kill the Bears.. Or it may pay off.  

These bad teams are remarkably close in numbers… yet wildly different in competitors.  The difference will be a choice on who can break through the malaise.  One of these will.  This is guaranteed to not be tie.

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Hou: 0-1-1, 2-0 ATS, 0-2 O/U. 0-1 ATS.

CHI: 1-1, 1-1 ATS, 0-2 O/U., 1-0 in home games.

 

The Houston Texas have come out of the first two games 27th in points per game, 29th in yards per game with 266.5, 24th in passing yards with 188, and 27th in rushing yards with 78.5.

The Chicago Bears have come out of the first two games 26th in points per game, 32nd in yards per game, 32nd in passing yards with 76.5 yards per game, and 8th in rushing yards with 139.5 per game.  Justin will have to run.  If he can’t pass he will have to open it up to destroy the defenses expectations.

 

The Houston Texans defense came out of the first two games 31st in defending yards with 433.5 yards per game, 26th in defending passing yards with 270.5 yards per game, 30th in defending rushing yards with 163 per game, and 11th in defending points with 18.0 per game.  The Texans defense is not good… but they also have not been challenged.

The Chicago Bears came out of the first two games 22nd in defendiing total yards with 372.5 per game, 7th in defending passing yards with 183 per game, 32 in defending the run with 189.5 per game, and 12th in defending points with 18.5 per game,

Our Prediction for the Sunday, September 25th game is… Bears 21 - Texans 13

 

Yes, the Bears will see this as an easy win and will get their easy win.  It will also write the book on whether the Bears have a future with the squad they are building from now.  Bet on the Bears to win ATS.

 

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Hosuton is 2-0 ATS in all games this season, but 15-20 ATS the last 3 seasons.

The Bears are 7-10 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons.

The Bears are 7-5 in game where the line is +3 - -3 the last 3 seasons.

 

Texans: WR V Jones JR (hammy) Quest ** R Reiff (shoulder) Quest ** DB D Cruikshank (hammy) Quest

Bears: G Alex Leatherwood - signed off the waiver list he's just not ready yet to play. ** WR V Jones Jr Quest ** WR N Harry Out ** 

 

Texans: QB Davis Mills- Davis is not the long term quarterback for the Texans.  He knows it more than anyone else.  He will force the action and lose more often than not.

Bears: Justin Fields-  The kid in charge got a win in his first game… to keep building the program he will need to show he can do it again.

Texans: QB Davis Mills, RB Dameon Pierce, WR Brandin Cooks, TE Brevin Jordan, TE OJ Howard, TE Pharaoh Brown, LT Laremy Tunsil, LG Kenyon Green, C Scot Quesenberry, RG AJ Cann, RT Tytus Howard

Bears: QB Justin Fields, RB David Montgomery, WR Darnell Mooney, WR Dante Pettis, WR Equanimeous ST Brown, TE Cole Kmet, LT Braxton Jones, LG Cody Whitehair, C Sam Mustipher, RG Teven Jenkins, RT Larry Borom

 

Texans: Lovie “give me the damn job” Smith

Bears: Matt “I look like a kid, but I’m old like a 91 Chevy” Eberflus

 

Partly Cloudy, 69*, humidity 60%, Wind 16 mph.  Precipitation 20%.  Good weather for a change for Chicago.