NFL Football: Green Bay Packers VS Chicago Bears Prediction, Odds and Preview - 12/04/2022

 

Game Time: 1:00 PM ET,  Sunday, December 4th, 2022

Venue:  Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois

Where to Watch: FOX

FanDuel:  Packers -2.5; O/U 41.5

BetMGM:  Packers -2.5; O/U 42.5

PointsBet:  Packers -2.5; O/U 41.5

Packers: 4-8, 3rd place NFC North

Bears: 3-9, 4th place NFC North

An NFC North battle, in one of the biggest rivalries in NFL History… Only both teams are losers at the same time.  The Packers VS Bears rivalry is supposed to be about tough guys, cold weather, hard hitting defenses, announcers using the term “Gridiron” a whole lot more than anyone should.  We are supposed to see the breath pour out of the players in the cold winter air… we are supposed to hear the crunch of hits on the line… we are supposed to catch a glimpse of blood on someone's knuckles.  I bet none of that matters.  The Green Bay Packers lost yet again… and star quarterback Aaron Rogers may be done for the year because of injuries to his thumb and ribs… He narcissistically announced that “as long as we are mathematically not eliminated I want to be out there”... Oh thanks Sir Rodgers!  Do any of the other players get to decide if they “want” to play?… Outside of the big paycheck Aaron has not gotten much from his team this season… and the team has not gotten much from him either.  The season for the Packers is washed… which makes betting on Packers games difficult.  They are favored by -2.5 over the Bears this coming Sunday… but is that with or without Rodgers?... What if Jordan Love starts?  Bet it quick if you think the Bears would beat the Packers with Love and not Rodgers… just in case.  The Chicago Bears also have a washed season… a Bears season that will again finish far from a playoff spot.  The Bears think they have found their franchise quarterback in Justin Fields… but Fields sat out last game with rib soreness and may not be back this season just to prevent any further damage.  This coming offseason will be a big one for the Bears… They MUST find Justin Fields some quality offensive linemen… and some weapons… and a better defense… and more weapons.  That is the future… Meanwhile the present is being housed by the New York Jets with backup QB Trever Simien under center.

The Green Bay Packers are on a 2-game losing streak… but have seriously lost 7 of their last 8 games.  They have been falling off the cliff of relevance for the last 2 months.  The offense is bad at scoring points while the defense is bad at defending points… the truest recipe for losing in the known universe. The team is in a very painful prolonged goodbye with QB Aaron Rodgers.  The front office definitely regrets NOT trading Rodgers to Denver or San Francisco when they had the chance.  They could be exactly the same losing team without Rodgers right now… except they would have a shelf full of upcoming draft picks to build from… whether that had been around Jordan Love, Jimmy G, or a draft pick to be named later.  The reality of the moment is the Pacers lost their last game to the Philadelphia Eagles 40-33… A high scoring shootout that definitely hit the OVER.  In the game QB Aaron Rodgers was 11 of 16 passing for 140 yards 2 TDs and 2 INTs… It was those interceptions that killed the Packers. Then Aaron left the game with injury and QB Jordan Love passed 6 of 9 for 113 yards 1 TD 0 INT.  The Packers came up short but did score the ball very well.  If Love gets the full time start against the Bears we may get to finally see if he can start for the team next season.

The Chicago Bears have lost 5 straight games.  Their season is over and everyone in the world knows it.  The one bright spot is the thinking that they may be on the right track to improvement.  The looming dark cloud of course is the Bears front office will be making the draft picks and they have never proved to be very good at that sort of thing.  The Bears lost their last game to the New York Jets 31-10. In the loss Siemian threw 14 of 25 for 179 yards 1TD and 1 INT.  It was an underwhelming performance from an underwhelming backup quarterback.  A giant problem with the Bears inserting a backup quarterback is that backup quarterbacks do not play defense! Defense is a struggle for the 2022-23 Bears… They are 27th in defense of points while giving up 25.4 per game… the Jets pushed that average aside and ran it up to 31.  

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GBP: 4-8, 4-8 ATS, 6-6 O/U, 1-5 on the road.

CHI: 3-9, 4-7-1 ATS, 8-4 O/U, 2-3 in home games.

The Packers are 23rd in scoring with 19.6 points per game, 7th in total yards with 344.7 per game, 14th in passing yards with 223.4 per game, 14th in rushing yards with 121.2 per game.

The Bears are 19th in scoring with 20.9 points per game, 18th in total yards per game with 323.2, 32nd in passing yards with 131.2 per game, 1st in rushing yards with 192 per game.

The Packers defense is 16th in defending yards with 342.6 allowed per game, 4th in defense of passing yards with 187.8 per game allowed, 31st in defense of rushing yards with 154.8 per game allowed, and 22nd in defense of points with 23.6 per game allowed.

The Bears defense is 20th in defending yards with 350 per game allowed, 12th in defending passing yards with 206.1 per game, 27th in defense of rushing yards with 143.9 per game allowed, and 27th in defending points with 25.4 per game allowed.

Our prediction for Sunday, December 4th is…. Packers 22 - Bears 11

 

The Bears have no defense.  No matter which Packers quarterback plays… the Packers are still the team that scored 33 points on the Eagles with both QBs taking snaps… while the Bears are still the team that has lost 5 straight no matter who starts.  Bet on the Packers.

 

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The Packers are 23-8 ATS versus Chicago since 1992.

The Packers are 2-0 ATS versus Chicago in Chicago the last 3 seasons.

The Bears are 0-4 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season.

Packers: QB Aaron Rodgers, RB Aaron Jones, WR Christian Watson, WR Allen Lazard, WR Samori Toure, TE Marcedes Lewis, LT David Bakhtiari, LG Elgton Jenkins, C Josh Myers, RG Jon Runyan, RT Yosh Nijman

Bears: QB Trevor Siemian, RB David Montgomery, WR Chase Claypool, WR Darnell Mooney, WR Equanimeous ST Brown, TE Cole Kmet, LT Braxton Jones, LG Cody Whtehair, C Sam Mustipher, RG Teven Jenkins, RT Riley Reiff 

Mostly Cloudy, Wind 11 mph, Humidity 57%, 42*... cold and windy… ahh Chicago.