NFL Football: Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/25/2022

by James Q

NFL Football:  Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/25/2022

 
Game Time: 1: PM ET,  Sunday, September 25th, 2022
Venue:  MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Where to Watch: CBS
 

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

FanDuel:  Bengals -6, 41.5 O/U 45.5
BetMGM: Bengals -6, 41.5 O/U 45.5
PointsBet:   

Season Record

Bengals: 0-2 last place AFC North
Jets: 1-1, 3rd place AFC EAST
 
A wonderfully deceptive American Football Conference matchup.  The 1-1 Jets are riding high!... Because the Jets won a game.  The 0-2 Cincinnati Bengals are riding low because they have not won any games.  After two games this isn’t such a grand statement… unless you glare in Vegas’s direction to see that the spread is only -6 in favor of the Bengals.  That is crazy if you saw either of these teams play the last 18 months.  The Jets are supposed to stink while the Bengals are supposed to be the class of the AFC.  So what gives?... Does QB Joe Burrow of the Bengals NEED more protection… or is he holding the ball far too long.  The guy has been the victim of 13 sacks in two games… He is on pace (it’s a long season) to be the most single season sacked QB of all time… if the Bengals keep giving up 6.5 sacks per game.  The Jets on the other hand had QB Joe Flacco (a super bowl ring possessing back-up) after floundering for 3 ¾ quarters last week.  Flacco scored two touchdowns in 2:32 to win the game by a single point.  Are the Jets good?... We have absolutely no way of knowing!  However, are they improving in various p-laces like pass protection and defensive line?  Yes.  The question here is one of guts… what does your gut say about these two teams that will get you to bet for or against Joe Burrow?
 
The Cincinnati Bengals have had an atrocious last 3 games.  Two of those were early season losses… the third was a Super Bowl loss.  In fact last week the Bengals lost to the Dallas Cowboys who were starting COOPER RUSH at quarterback.  The Cowboys were declared dead after game 1 yet the Bengals could not get the win.  The Bengals need pass protection for Joe Burrow for sure… but also Joe is holding the ball WAY TOO long.  The air of hometown hero has gone to Joe’s head and he is trying to hit home runs from the pocket.  This falls on Coach Zac Taylor… he will have to find a way to get the running game and the QUICK passing game going.  He must get creative!  Cause a few more sacks and Joe will start spending time in the dreaded blue tent.  If the Bengals could put a defense on their heels Joe will get his pocket back.  It’s that simple, but obviously harder to do than say.
 
The New York Jets got a win!  Their offensive numbers are all over the map.  3rd in passing yards while 23rd in rushing yards… not very balanced.  8th in total yards… but 17th in points… not very balanced.  Another place to highlight the head coach… If Robert Saleh could find balance in those numbers.. This may be a surprisingly good team.  The Jets defense is slightly behind the middle of the pack… so you can’t rely on the defense… even though we finally get to see what it is like to have LB Carl Lawson and DE Quinnen Williams on the field at the same time… eh.  It will take an offensive renaissance to rebirth this team… Does Flacco have enough magic?  Will the team be given back to underwhelming young guy Zac Wilson in a few weeks?
 
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Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis

Recent Form

CIN: 0-2, 0-2 ATS, 0-2 O/U, 0-1 on the road.
NYJ: 1-1, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U, 0-1 at home.

Offensive Analysis

The Cincinnati Bengals offense is 21st in points per game with 18.5, 18th in total yards with 343, 14th in passing yards with 232 per game, and 14th in rushing yards with 111 per game.

The New York Jets offense is 17th in points per game with 20 per game, 8th in total yards with 391 per game, 3rd in passing yards with 303 per game, and 23rd in rushing yards with 88 per game.  The Jets will have to find a running game or it will be yet another long season.

Defensive Analysis

The Cincinnati Bengals defense is 7th in total yards allowed with 302 per game, 13th in passing yards allowed with 211 per game, 12th in rushing yards allowed with 91 per game, and 16th in points allowed with 21.5 per game.

The New York Jets defense is 18th in total yards allowed with 339.5 yards per game, 14th in passing yards allowed with 216 per game, 21st in rushing yards allowed with 123.5 per game, and 25th in points allowed with 27 per game.
 

Bengals vs Jets Prediction

Our prediction for Sunday, September 25th is…. Bengals 28 - Jets 17
 
The bet is for the Bengals.  We have to tell the truth about what we have seen.  The Bengals defense is good, the offense has sputtered a bit at crucial times.  Plus the Jets are an on-sides kick away from being 0-2 themselves.  Sometimes the lucky bounce benefits a team… but the Jets defense can not hang with the Bengals offense if the Bengals have made ANY adjustments.  If the Begals do not come through this week… they will be out of the conversation for quite awhile.  That is a bet worth a full unit.
 
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NFL Betting Trends

The Bengals are 8-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses the last 3 seasons.
The Jets are 2-8 as a home underdog of 7 points or less the last 3 seasons.

 

Key Injuries

The Begals came out of Week 2 banged up, TE D Asiasi Prob ** TE H Hurst Quest ** LB G Pratt Quest ** T L Collins Quest ** TE D Sample Quest **... these guys will rest & rehab and probably all play come Sunday.

The Jets came out of Week 2 with a scary prospect of maybe not having DL Quinnen Williams because of a foot injury.  Word is he will probably play even though he is listed as Quest.
 

Players to Watch

Begals:  QB Joe Burrow.  There is no more important person to a Bengals win.  If Joe finds himself staring at the ceiling covered in defensive lineman AGAIN?... Then something is clearly wrong in Cincinnati!

Jets:  QB Joe Flacco.  Flacco has a ring.  Flacco has graying hair around his temples.  Flacco has nothing to lose.  If Joe Flacco plays great all season long he will get high fives and pats on the butt and he will still be a year away from a rocking chair on the porch.  He will let the ball fly.

 

Starting Lineups

Bengals: QB Joe Burrow, HB Joe Mixon, WR Ja’Marr Chase, WR Tee Higgins, TE Hayden Hurst, TE Drew Sample, LT Jonah Williams, LG Cordell Volson, C Ted Karras, RG Alec Cappa, RT La’el Collins

Jets: QB Joe Flacco, RB Michael Carter, WR Elijah Moore, WR Garrett Wilson, WR Corey Davis, TE Tyler Conklin, LT George Fant, LG Laken Tomlinson, C Connor McGovern, RG Alijah Vera Tucker, RT Max Mitchell
 


 

Weather Forecast

Scattered showers, Humidity 59%, Precipitation chance 50%, Wind 9 mph.  More weather for this NFL season.  Ho-hum.  Somebody tell the billionaire owners that they all need domes and lets get on with it.




James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

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