NFL Draft Wagers

by ASA, Inc.

Thursday, Apr 20, 2023
At the end of April we will get a little offseason fix of NFL content to gamble on. With unpredictable trades and each team having unique needs for 2023, the NFL Draft is one of the hardest things to foresee. By looking at just the odds alone, it tells us how this is the case. Bryce Young (-470) is a heavy favorite to go at the 1.1 spot and Will Anderson (-400) seems to be a lock for the first defensive player taken. Beyond that, the QB predictions have been all over the board, leading to huge uncertainty as to how the first five picks will shake out. Below are some popular props to look at during your draft parties for round 1. 

Total Number of QBs Drafted in Round 1
Over 4.5 +106
Under 4.5 -140
Some of the latest Mock Drafts have predicted that the top four QBs will go in the first seven picks. If this is the case, it is hard to imagine that not one single team will feel the need to address the most important position on their roster the rest of the first. The Falcons at the 8 spot, Titans at 11, Commanders at 16, Bucs at 19, Vikings at 23, or even Saints at 29 are all in need to find their franchise QB. Tanner McKee from Stanford and Hendon Hooker from Tennessee are both solid options that teams may have first round grades on. Since the 2022 QB draft class was so shallow, teams with veteran QBs could be willing to take on a draft and develop prospect. 

Total Number of RBs Drafted in Round 1
Over 1.5 +350
Under 1.5 -550
Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs are the two possible first rounders that will determine this prop. Running backs have had an increasingly limited shelf life in recent years, but their most effective seasons do come early. Bijan has cracked the top 10 in some mocks while Jahmyr’s film at Alabama showed a silky smooth runner and pass catcher who ran an easy 4.36 at the combine. In years past, both would have been highly sought after weapons, but in today's NFL we will see how much teams still value an elite RB.  With Gibbs 40 time, we think an elite team at the end of the first would love an explosive athlete to put them over the top.

Total Number of DBs Drafted in Round 1
Over 5.5 -114
Under 5.5 -114
Four DBs were taken in the first round in 2022, and it could swing either way this year. With so much talent at Wide Receiver in the NFL, teams are desperate for cover corners to slow them down. Devon Whitherspoon and Christian Gonzalez lead this loaded class followed by any mix of about 6 or 7 players that could be considered, depending on team preference. One DB sitting on this fringe is Kelee Ringo from Georgia. At 6’2/205, he ran a 4.36 at the combine and routinely guarded the best offensive players along the way to winning the National Title. If an early run on DBs starts, it would not be surprising to see six or seven corners gone after day 1. 

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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