by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jul 10, 2026
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, July 11, 2026
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, DC
Where to Watch: MLB TV
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Yankees -199, Nationals +163; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Yankees -200, Nationals +165; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Yankees -200, Nationals +165; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
New York Yankees: 51-42 (2nd place, AL East)
Washington Nationals: 48-46 (4th place, NL East)
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Recent Form
New York Yankees: 3-7 last 10
Washington Nationals: 6-4 last 10
New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Preview and Analysis
The Yankees are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-42 record overall and have a road record of 28-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Nationals on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .736 OPS. Ryan Weathers is their starting pitcher on Friday while Cam Schlittler is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 9-5 with a 2.01 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 8 SO on 4 hits through 8 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.
The Nationals are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-46 record overall and have a home record of 20-28. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .760 OPS. Carson Palmquist is their starting pitcher on Friday while Miles Mikolas is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-7 with a 5.78 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 7 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 walks with 3 strikeouts on 9 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Houston Astros.
Yankees vs Nationals Prediction
The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 51-42 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have been a good road team too with their 28-22 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Nationals have looked good in their games this season with their 48-46 record overall, but that record has them right near the bottom of the NL Central. They have looked terrible in their own ballpark too with their 20-28 home record this season. The Nationals are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have been rolling lately while the Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 games and have been in a big slump lately, but the Yankees are going to have the better pitching matchup in this one and they can take advantage of that to stop this skid that they have been on. Schlittler is on the mound for the Yankees in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 9-5 with a 2.01 ERA and he has been their best starter this season by far. His team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but that hasn't been a common theme for them this year and he is still coming off a great start in which he gave up 1 earned run. The Nationals are going with Mikolas in this one and he hasn't looked good this season. He is 3-7 with a 5.78 ERA and the team hasn't been having much success with him lately either. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games with him starting and he is coming off another terrible start in which he gave up 7 earned runs. The Nationals also have a terrible bullpen too, so look for the Yankees to take advantage of this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game and on the runline.
Yankees Nationals Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 11, 2026 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 8 Nationals 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
New York Yankees: 19-21 (-10.3 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 249-188 (-21.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 213-152 (-26.1 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 25-14 OVER against NL East opponents.
Washington Nationals: 185-234 (+8.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 145-191 (+22.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 59-66 (+10 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 51-31 OVER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Key Injuries
New York Yankees: C. Rodon (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. A. Judge (RF) Ten Day IL - Rib. M. Fried (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. G. Stanton (DH) Ten Day IL - Leg. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Washington Nationals: B. Lord (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Side. M. Parker (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Lovelady (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Triceps. M. Kranick (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Irvin (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. K. Waldichuk (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. J. Gray (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. D. Herz (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Williams (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“You’re fired up that some guys that have been scuffling are putting together really good at-bats. Then you’re always trying to be greedy and say, ‘Let’s keep pushing.’” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Thursday.
“It's awesome stuff. It's just a testament again to the way they prepare, the way they go about their business, the job our coaches do. They put a lot of time, work and effort into getting ready to go for these games, and being dialed into the game plan and what they're expecting to see is a large part of that. And when they get the pitches they're looking for, they're doing damage. Couldn't be happier for CJ and Luis for those career highs.” - Blake Butera after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
New York Yankees
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Ben Rice (L) DH
Jasson Domínguez (S) RF
Cody Bellinger (L) 1B
José Caballero (R) SS
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B
Max Schuemann (R) LF
Ryan McMahon (L) 3B
Austin Wells (L) C
Washington Nationals
James Wood (L) RF
Luis García Jr. (L) 1B
Curtis Mead (R) 3B
CJ Abrams (L) SS
Daylen Lile (L) LF
Dylan Crews (R) CF
Jorbit Vivas (L) 2B
José Tena (L) DH
Keibert Ruiz (S) C
Statistical Leaders
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Ben Rice (.275)
Hits: Ben Rice (90)
Home Runs: Ben Rice (28)
RBI: Ben Rice (65)
Stolen Bases: Jazz Chisholm (26)
Wins: Cam Schlittler (9)
Saves: David Bednar (17)
ERA: Yovanny Cruz (0.00)
Washington Nationals
Batting Average: Luis García (.291)
Hits: James Wood (96)
Home Runs: James Wood (25)
RBI: Luis García (68)
Stolen Bases: Nasim Nuñez (33)
Wins: Foster Griffin (10)
Saves: Clayton Beeter (7)
ERA: Eddy Yean (0.00)
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (9th season)
Washington Nationals: Blake Butera (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
