New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/10/2026

Game Time: 6:45 pm ET, Friday, July 10, 2026

Venue:  Nationals Park, Washington, DC

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -163, Nationals +135; Over/Under:  10 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -165, Nationals +135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -160, Nationals +135; Over/Under:  10 runs

New York Yankees:  51-42 (2nd place, AL East)

Washington Nationals:  48-46 (4th place, NL East)

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New York Yankees:  3-7 last 10

Washington Nationals:  6-4 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-42 record overall and have a road record of 28-22. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Nationals on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. Paul Blackburn was their starting pitcher on Thursday while Ryan Weathers is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-7 with a 4.29 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 6 SO on 6 hits through 4 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Nationals are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-46 record overall and have a home record of 20-28. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .760 OPS. Foster Griffin was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Carson Palmquist is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-1 with a 7.11 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 walk with 0 strikeouts on 0 hits through 1 inning pitched against the Houston Astros.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 51-42 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have been a good road team too with their 28-22 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Nationals have looked good in their games this season with their 48-46 record overall, but that record has them right near the bottom of the NL Central. They have looked terrible in their own ballpark too with their 20-28 home record this season. The Nationals are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have been getting hot lately while the Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 games, but the Yankees are going to have the better pitching matchup here and they can take advantage of that. The Yankees are going with Weathers in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 3-7 with a 4.29 ERA and he has been giving up quite a few runs this year. He is coming off another bad start in which he gave up 4 earned runs and the team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting too, but he does have the much better bullpen to help him out of any trouble he gets into. The Nationals are going with Palmquist in this one and he hasn't looked good this season. He is 0-1 with a 7.11 ERA and he is likely only going to be an opener in this one. He didn't give up a run in his last appearance, but the team has still lost 2 games in a row now with him pitching in it, and the Nationals do have a terrible bullpen too. They are going to have to rely more on their bullpen in this one and that is where the Yankees can take advantage in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Yankees Nationals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 10, 2026 (6:45 pm ET start time) is Yankees 7 Nationals 5.

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New York Yankees: 19-21 (-10.3 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 248-188 (-23 units) on the moneyline in all games. 213-152 (-26.1 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 25-14 OVER against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals: 185-234 (+8.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 145-191 (+22.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 59-66 (+10 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 8-3 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%.

New York Yankees:  C. Rodon (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. A. Judge (RF) Ten Day IL - Rib. M. Fried (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. G. Stanton (DH) Ten Day IL - Leg. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Washington Nationals:  J. Young (CF) Day To Day - Hand. M. Parker (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Lovelady (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Triceps. M. Kranick (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Irvin (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. K. Waldichuk (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. J. Gray (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. D. Herz (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Williams (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“We’ve got to get some guys going. That’s reality. But ultimately, we’ve got to go do it. I do believe we’ll get through this, but there’s not much more to talk about. We’ve got to go make some things happen.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Rays in their game on Wednesday.

“It's awesome stuff. It's just a testament again to the way they prepare, the way they go about their business, the job our coaches do. They put a lot of time, work and effort into getting ready to go for these games, and being dialed into the game plan and what they're expecting to see is a large part of that. And when they get the pitches they're looking for, they're doing damage. Couldn't be happier for CJ and Luis for those career highs.” - Blake Butera after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Wednesday.

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Ben Rice (L) DH

Jasson Domínguez (S) RF

Cody Bellinger (L) 1B

José Caballero (R) SS

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B

Max Schuemann (R) LF

Ryan McMahon (L) 3B

Austin Wells (L) C

James Wood (L) RF

Luis García Jr. (L) 1B

Curtis Mead (R) 3B

CJ Abrams (L) SS

Daylen Lile (L) LF

Dylan Crews (R) CF

Jorbit Vivas (L) 2B

José Tena (L) DH

Keibert Ruiz (S) C

Batting Average:  Ben Rice (.274)

Hits:  Ben Rice (89)

Home Runs:  Ben Rice (27)

RBI:  Ben Rice (62)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (26)

Wins:  Cam Schlittler (9)

Saves:  David Bednar (17)

ERA:  Yovanny Cruz (0.00)

Batting Average:  Luis García (.291)

Hits:  James Wood (96)

Home Runs:  James Wood (25)

RBI:  Luis García (68)

Stolen Bases:  Nasim Nuñez (33)

Wins:  Foster Griffin (10)

Saves:  Clayton Beeter (7)

ERA:  Eddy Yean (0.00)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (9th season)

Washington Nationals: Blake Butera (1st season)