New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/30/2021

by Big Al Staff

Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Thursday, September 30, 2021
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +130, Blue Jays -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +125, Blue Jays -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +120, Blue Jays -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

New York Yankees:  90-67 (2nd place, AL East)
Toronto Blue Jays:  87-70 (4th place, AL East)
 
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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Yankees:  8-2 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

New York Yankees Analysis

The Yankees are coming into this game after winning the series opener between these two on Tuesday night. The 2nd game of this series will be on Wednesday night with that result still pending as the game has yet to be played. This will be the series finale of this three-game series on Thursday. After winning the series opener, the Yankees are now on a 7 game winning streak coming into this one, with Wednesday's result pending still. Gerrit Cole will be getting the nod for the Wednesday game while Corey Kluber will be the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Thursday. He is 5-3 with a 3.82 ERA this season. He has been credited with a win the last time he pitched and there was a decision and the team has won their last 3 games when he has started. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 8 hits through 4.1 IP against the Texas Rangers last Wednesday. He has seen the Blue Jays lineup 3 times this year and he is 0-1 against them with 2 no-decisions and his team is 1-2 in those games that he pitched in as he allowed 2 or more runs scored against him in each of those games. Their offense has scored 26 runs in their last 4 games averaging over 6 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 11 runs against them in that same span allowing a little under 3 runs per game. 
 

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game after losing the first game of this series on Tuesday night. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but their play over the last week has not been good as they have actually lost 4 of their last 6 games. This will be the series finale between these two on Thursday with Wednesday's result still pending. Jose Berrios is the starter for Wednesday while Robbie Ray will be throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Thursday. He is 13-6 with a 2.68 ERA this season and he is one of the starting pitchers on this rotation who has the most wins on the team. The Jays have won 2 of their last 3 and 5 of their last 7 games when he has started on the mound. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER and 4 BB with 6 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings of work against the Minnesota Twins last Saturday. He has seen the Yankees lineup 2 times this year and he is 0-2 against them as he allowed more than 2 runs in both of those games. Their offense has scored 16 runs in their last 5 games averaging a little over 3 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 20 runs against them in that same span allowing 4 runs per game. 

 

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Yankees are sitting in the first Wild Card spot with the Boston Red Sox behind them in the 2nd Wild Card spot. The Seattle Mariners are sitting out just by 0.5 games while the Jays are behind them 1 full game out. This series could very well sway the way the standings are presented right now and decide who will be making an appearance in the postseason. The Yankees are playing much better right now on a 7 game winning streak after breaking out of the slump they were in just a little over a week ago. The Blue Jays are the complete opposite as they were very hot last week winning and scoring like there was no tomorrow but have now cooled off completely. The value here is on the Yankees who are just the better team and playing like it as both teams will try to win this game. The Yankees will win and come out on top.
 
Yankees Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, September 30, 2021 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Yankees 5 Blue Jays 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Yankees: 12-10 (+4.9 units) on the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher. 32-21 (+6.4 units) on the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10.
Toronto Blue Jays: 60-44 (-13.5 units) on the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher. 55-52 (-15.8 units) on the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10. 43-33 (-8 units) on the money line in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Yankees:  J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Oct - Shoulder injury. J. Taillon (SP) Early Oct - Ankle injury. C. Frazier (LF) out for season - Eye injury.
Toronto Blue Jays:  C. Biggio (2B) Ques Wed - Elbow injury. J. Soria (RP) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Hatch (SP) out for season - Hamstring injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
New York Yankees: Giancarlo Stanton is one player to watch here. He has been on fire in their recent games and he was a big reason why his team beat the Jays in the series opener. Look for him to start hitting his playoff stride in this series as they look to secure their spot in the postseason here.
 
Toronto Blue Jays: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in almost every offensive stat category and he has been on fire all year. His team is getting backed into a corner and he needs to step up here to help them get a Wild Card spot. Look for him to step up here and help his team make one last playoff push in these final games.
 

Notable Quotes

"We're playing for keeps, we're playing for a lot, and I think G is embodying that right now." - Aaron Boone on the way Stanton is playing in this final stretch of the regular season.
 
 
"I don't know how you can hit a ball like that. That ball was almost in the dirt, and he went and hit it out." - Charlie Montoyo on Stanton’s homer that sealed the Blue Jays fate on Tuesday in that game.
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Yankees
D. LeMahieu 3B
A. Rizzo 1B
A. Judge RF
G. Stanton DH
J. Gallo LF
G. Torres 2B
G. Sanchez C
B. Gardner CF
G. Urshela SS
 
Toronto Blue Jays
G. Springer DH
M. Semien 2B
V. Guerrero Jr. 1B
B. Bichette SS
T. Hernandez RF
L. Gurriel Jr. DH
C. Dickerson LF
S. Espinal 3B
D. Jansen C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  A. Judge (.287)
Hits:  D. LeMahieu (159)
Home Runs:  J. Gallo (38)
RBI:  G. Stanton (96)
Stolen Bases:  T. Wade (17)
Wins:  G. Cole (16)
Saves:  A. Chapman (30)
ERA:  J. Loaisiga (2.25)
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  V. Guerrero Jr. (.313)
Hits:  V. Guerrero Jr. (183)
Home Runs:  V. Guerrero Jr. (46)
RBI:  T. Hernandez (112)
Stolen Bases:  B. Bichette (24)
Wins:  H. Ryu (13)
Saves:  J. Romano (21)
ERA:  D. Phelps (0.87)
 
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (4th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (3rd season)
 

Weather Forecast

58 degrees F partly cloudy, 65% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 7 mph wind speeds S.


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