New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/29/2021

by Big Al Staff

Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Wednesday, September 29, 2021
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -120, Blue Jays +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -125, Blue Jays +105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -115, Blue Jays -105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

New York Yankees:  89-67 (2nd place, AL East)
Toronto Blue Jays:  87-69 (4th place, AL East)
 
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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Yankees:  7-3 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

New York Yankees Analysis

The Yankees are coming into this game after winning their series finale against the Boston Red Sox on Sunday 6-3. They are now on a 6 game winning streak after completing sweeps over the Red Sox and the Texas Rangers in the series before. They had Monday off as a rest day and Tuesday will be the series opener for their three-game series with the Jays. Tuesday's game has not been played yet with that result still pending, this will be the 2nd game of this series on Wednesday. Jameson Taillon is getting the nod for Tuesday's game while Gerrit Cole will be the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Wednesday. He is 16-8 with a 3.08 ERA this season and he has the most wins on his team for a starting pitcher in the rotation this season. His team has won 6 of their last 8 games when he was the starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 being a HR, and 3 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Red Sox last Friday. He has seen the Blue Jays lineup 4 times this season and he is 2-1 against them with 1 no-decision while his team is 2-2 against them in those games he played in. He has allowed an average of 2 earned runs per game against the Jays this season. Their offense has scored 19 runs in their last 3 games averaging a little over 6 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 9 runs against them in that same span allowing 3 runs per game.
 

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game after winning their series finale against the Minnesota Twins on Sunday 5-2. They are now on a 2 game winning streak but they have actually lost 3 of their last 5 and 4 of their last 7 games. This will be the 2nd game of a three-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with their Tuesday game still to be played, the result pending for that one. Hyun Jin Ryu is the starter for their Tuesday game while Jose Berrios will be throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Wednesday. He is 12-9 with a 3.48 ERA this season and he is one of their starting pitchers on the rotation who has the 2nd most wins on the team this season. The Jays have lost 2 of their last 3 but have won 4 of their last 6 with him starting on the mound. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 being a HR, and 2 BB with 10 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings of work against the Twins last Friday. He has only faced this Yankees lineup 1 time this season, in the last series they played them in just a few weeks ago, and he is 1-0 against them as he only allowed 2 runs in his start against them. Their offense has scored 14 runs in their last 4 games averaging over 3 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 13 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 3 runs per game.

 

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction

This series is very important to both sides as it could end up swaying the standings and the final results on who makes it to the postseason. The Yankees are in the first Wild Card spot with a 1 game lead over the Red Sox who are in the 2nd Wild Card spot. The Blue Jays sit 1 game behind them while the Seattle Mariners are 1.5 games out of that final spot and the Oakland Athletics are 3.5 games out but the chances are getting slimmer and slimmer each day for the A's. The Yankees have the Wild Card race motivation to win here but they also have to be angry about losing 4 straight at Yankee Stadium to the Jays just a few weeks ago. The Yankees are hot with their 6 game win streak and now is not the time to step in front of them as they will be making their final playoff push here. The best bet to make in this game is on the Yankees to win here.
 
Yankees Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, September 29, 2021 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Blue Jays 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Yankees: 70-56 (-24.6 units) on the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher. 89-67 (-13.8 units) in all games.
Toronto Blue Jays: 24-22 (+8.9 units) on the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher. 31-23 (+6.3 units) on the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Yankees:  J. Gallo (LF) Ques Tues - Shin injury. A. Judge (RF) Ques Tues - Finger injury. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Oct - Shoulder injury. J. Taillon (SP) Early Oct - Ankle injury. C. Frazier (LF) out for season - Eye injury.
Toronto Blue Jays:  H. Ryu (SP) Prob Tues - Neck injury. L. Gurriel Jr. (LF) Ques Tues - Finger injury. J. Soria (RP) Out indefinitely - Illness.
 

Players to Watch

 
New York Yankees: DJ LeMahieu is one player to watch in this matchup. He leads his team in hits and he will have to produce some in this series to give his team a chance at holding down their Wild Card spot. This series is important so look for him to get some hits and get on base in this game to give his team a chance at scoring some runs.
 
Toronto Blue Jays: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in batting average, hits, and in home runs. He is pretty much their whole offense with the way he has been playing all season and if the Jays are to steal some games and sneak up the standings, he will have to produce here. Look for him to keep playing his hardest until the season ends.
 

Notable Quotes

"Not too concerned with it. I don't need it to hit, so I think we'll be in good shape." - Aaron Judge on dislocating his pinky before this series.
 
 
"I think everybody's excited for it. We're going to play the big dogs, and we're going to play them at home in front of 30,000 fans. That's a huge thing, having those fans." - Danny Jansen on going up against the Yankees in this series with so much on the line here.
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Yankees
D. LeMahieu 3B
A. Rizzo 1B
A. Judge RF
G. Stanton DH
J. Gallo LF
G. Torres 2B
G. Sanchez C
B. Gardner CF
G. Urshela SS
 
Toronto Blue Jays
G. Springer DH
M. Semien 2B
V. Guerrero Jr. 1B
B. Bichette SS
T. Hernandez RF
C. Dickerson LF
S. Espinal 3B
D. Jansen C
R. Grichuk CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  A. Judge (.284)
Hits:  D. LeMahieu (158)
Home Runs:  J. Gallo (38)
RBI:  G. Stanton (93)
Stolen Bases:  T. Wade (17)
Wins:  G. Cole (16)
Saves:  A. Chapman (30)
ERA:  J. Loaisiga (2.25)
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  V. Guerrero Jr. (.315)
Hits:  V. Guerrero Jr. (183)
Home Runs:  V. Guerrero Jr. (46)
RBI:  T. Hernandez (112)
Stolen Bases:  B. Bichette (23)
Wins:  H. Ryu (13)
Saves:  J. Romano (21)
ERA:  D. Phelps (0.87)
 
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (4th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (3rd season)
 

Weather Forecast

60 degrees F sunny, 62% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 11 mph wind speeds S.


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