New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/28/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Tuesday, September 28, 2021
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +105, Blue Jays -125; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +100, Blue Jays -120; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +105, Blue Jays -125; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

New York Yankees:  89-67 (2nd place, AL East)
Toronto Blue Jays:  87-69 (4th place, AL East)
 
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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Yankees:  7-3 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

New York Yankees Analysis

The Yankees are coming into this game after winning their series finale against the Boston Red Sox on Sunday. They are now on a 6 game winning streak as they have completed sweeps against the Red Sox and the Texas Rangers in their last 2 series'. They have Monday off as a rest day and will begin a three-game series with the Blue Jays on Tuesday. This will be the series-opener between these two. Jordan Montgomery was given the nod in Sunday's game while Jameson Taillon will be the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-6 with a 4.41 ERA this season. He has been credited with 2 straight losses as his team has lost the last 2 games he started in. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 of them being homers, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Jays back on Sep. 6. He has faced the Blue Jays lineup twice this season and he is 0-2 in those games as he allowed more than 3 earned runs in each of them. Their offense has scored 19 runs in their last 3 games averaging a little over 6 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 9 runs against them in that same span allowing 3 runs per game.
 

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game after winning their series finale against the Minnesota Twins on Sunday. That has now put them on a 2 game winning streak after tying with the Twins in that four-game series. The Jays also lost their series before that one to the Tampa Bay Rays dropping 2 of those 3 games. They have Monday off as a rest day and will be playing this series-opener on Tuesday. Alek Manoah was the starter in Sunday's game while Hyun Jin Ryu will be throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Tuesday. He is 13-9 with a 4.34 ERA this season and he is one of the starting pitchers in this rotation who has the most wins for them this year. His team has won 2 of their last 3 games when he has started although, he has not really looked quite right in those starts. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 of them being HR, and 1 BB with 2 strikeouts on 5 hits through 2 innings of work against the Twins two Fridays ago. He has seen the Yankees lineup 4 times this season and he is 2-0 against them with 2 no-decisions while his team is 3-1 against them in those games. Their offense has scored 14 runs in their last 4 games averaging over 3 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 13 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 3 runs per game.

 

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction

This game and this entire series is extremely important as this AL Wild Card race nears the finish line. The Yankees are sitting in the first Wild card spot while the Boston red Sox have control of the second one. The Jays are sitting behind them just 1 game out while they have the Seattle Mariners and the Oakland Athletics right behind them at 2 and 3 games back respectively. This series is massive because whoever wins it could completely sway the standings here. Both teams have been really good in recent games but the Yankees have been the hotter team coming into this one. Also, Matz has barely been touched by the Yankees in his starts against them this year and that is bound to change soon enough. The best bet to make in this game is on the Yankees to win here.
 
Yankees Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, September 28, 2021 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Blue Jays 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Yankees: 89-67 (-13.8 units) on the money line in all games. 33-37 (-23.5 units) on the money line against division opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays: 60-43 (-12.3 units) on the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher. 55-51 (-14.7 units) on the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Yankees:  J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Oct - Shoulder injury. J. Taillon (SP) Early Oct - Ankle injury. C. Frazier (LF) out for season - Eye injury.
Toronto Blue Jays:  H. Ryu (SP) Prob Tues - Neck injury. L. Gurriel Jr. (LF) Ques Tues - Finger injury. J. Soria (RP) Out indefinitely - Illness.
 

Players to Watch

 
New York Yankees: Aaron Judge is one player to watch here. He leads his team in batting average and he has really started to heat up in recent games. The Yankees are trying to secure their place in the postseason so look for him to have a big performance in this game.
 
Toronto Blue Jays: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is one player to watch here. He leads his team in batting average, hits, and home runs. His team is also looking to secure a spot in the postseason so look for him to have a big game and help lead his team to victory.
 

Notable Quotes

"It's a big time right now, so I've just got to make sure I'm the most prepared. You can't be scared of those moments, or they'll sneak up on you real quick." - Giancarlo Stanton on delivering in the clutch moments for his team these last few games.
 
 
 
"We just have to win. I'm so proud of this team, to be where we are right now. They deserve all the credit." - Charlie Montoyo on the Jays’ plan to make the playoffs with the season winding down.
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Yankees
D. LeMahieu 3B
A. Rizzo 1B
A. Judge RF
G. Stanton DH
J. Gallo LF
G. Torres 2B
G. Sanchez C
B. Gardner CF
G. Urshela SS
 
Toronto Blue Jays
G. Springer DH
M. Semien 2B
V. Guerrero Jr. 1B
B. Bichette SS
T. Hernandez RF
C. Dickerson LF
S. Espinal 3B
D. Jansen C
R. Grichuk CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  A. Judge (.284)
Hits:  D. LeMahieu (158)
Home Runs:  J. Gallo (38)
RBI:  G. Stanton (93)
Stolen Bases:  T. Wade (17)
Wins:  G. Cole (16)
Saves:  A. Chapman (30)
ERA:  J. Loaisiga (2.25)
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  V. Guerrero Jr. (.315)
Hits:  V. Guerrero Jr. (183)
Home Runs:  V. Guerrero Jr. (46)
RBI:  T. Hernandez (112)
Stolen Bases:  B. Bichette (23)
Wins:  H. Ryu (13)
Saves:  J. Romano (21)
ERA:  D. Phelps (0.87)
 
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (4th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (3rd season)
 

Weather Forecast

59 degrees F partly cloudy, 58% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 8 mph wind speeds S.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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