New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/26/2022

by James Q

Sunday, Sep 25, 2022

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/26/2022 

Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Monday, September 26th, 2022
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Where to Watch:, MLBN

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Moneyline:  (will update)
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  
PointsBet:  Moneyline: 

Season Record

Yankees: 93-58, 1st place AL East
Blue Jays: 85-67, 2nd place AL East

An American League East battle between familiar foes.  The New York Yankees got out to a great start… almost a historic start… to the 2022 season.  Everyone was enamored with what obviously looked like a World Series season.  Then late summer hit them hard… The Yankees got lapped by the Los Angeles Dodgers, the cheating Houston Astros, and the city sharing New York Mets… But not all joy was lost because the Yankees still clearly had possession of first place in the AL East… In fact they are 8.5 games up on 2nd place.  Also the Yankees are partaking in a fun version of history making as Star Slugger Aaron Judge has awakened history by hitting 60 home runs.  He is playing the Babe Ruth role to a tee.  He will soon pass Roger Maris… and he will hit more.  The reason this is so great is that Judge is perceived as “clean”... meaning ball players are tested so much that everyone thinks or knows that he is doing it without the use of steroids. (time will tell).  That makes the “other guys” … Bonds, Maguire, and Sosa… sort of not in the conversation.  If Aaron finishes with 65 (as an example).. Most Yankee fans… and most of baseball will perceive him as the best home run hitter ever.  The Toronto Blue Jays on the other hand are just a good team waiting to gel at the right time.  They are 8.5 games behind the Yankees but will play a 3-game series against them.  For Toronto this is the ultimate opportunity… a 3-game SWEEP means they advance 6 games toward the #1 spot… a 2-1 finish means they pick up 4 games with 12 games left to play…. Anything less and they will be putting nails in their own coffin.  By coffin I don’t mean death… I mean any chance of overtaking the Yankees.  That should make the Blue Jays eminently motivated.

The New York Yankees have won 8 of their last 10 games.  They beat up on the Red Sox both recently and historically.  They are playing to packed houses as Aaron Judge keeps knocking dingers.  They have a great combination of 2nd in scoring with GREAT pitching.  They trail only the Dodgers in all categories and will not have to worry about THEM until/if they reach the World Series.  The recent winning comes at a perfect time as this team really stumbled in August.  The last ten games they went 3-0 against the Boston Red Sox, 1-0 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, 1-2 against the Milwaukee Brewers, 2-0 against the Boston Red Sox (again), and 1-0 against the Tampa Bay Rays.  

The Toronto Blue Jays are entering the series that will make or break their season… with so few games left they will be going head to head 3 times with the division leader that has them by 8.5 games.  Winning doubles the stakes… no whammies! However losing doubles the stakes also.  They have won only 5 of their last 10 games.  They have been allowing the Yankees to create big separation and this is their last chance to catch up.  They have gone 1-2 against the Tampa Bay Rays, 0-1 against the Philadelphia Phillies, 2-1 against the Baltimore Orioles, and 2-1 against the Tampa Bay Rays… dropping a game here and there down the stretch is what continually keeps them out of the winners circle.  This is a great hitting team with average pitching.  A formula for a lot of wins but no big wins.  They need to dig deep.

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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Review and Analysis

Recent Form


Offensive Analysis

The Yankees are 2nd in scoring with 5.09 runs per game, 17th in batting average with .241, 5th in OBP with .325.

The Blue Jays are 5th in runs per game with 4.74, 1st in batting average with .261, and 3rd in OBP with .327.

Defensive Analysis

The Yankees pitchers are 4th in team era with 3.38, 3rd in WHIP with 1.12, and their fielders are 7th in errors with 71 on the season so far.

The Blue Jays pitchers are 18th in team ERA with 3.99, 11th in WHIP with 1.25, and the fielders are 13th in errors with 76 on the season so far.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Our prediction for Monday, September 26th is… Blue Jays 5 - Yankees 4

The TBD on the pitching matchups is of no concern here.  The bet is simply the Blue Jays on the moneyline.  The batting is nearly even and both teams are waiting to find the best matchup… and while that will favor the Yankees most likely… They will be deeply emotionally spent after watching Aaron Judge take five cuts in their last game of the last series… he may be at 61… or even 62… They will be spent.

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MLB Betting Trends

Key Injuries 

Yankees: 2B D LeMahieu (toe) Quest ** LF A Benintendi (wrist) Out ** 

Blue Jays: 2B S Espinal Out ** LF L Gurriel Jr (hammy) Out **

Players to Watch

TBD TBD TBD (will update)


Starting Lineups
Yankees: RF Aaron Judge, 1B Anthony Rizzo, 2B Gleyber Torres, 3B Josh Donaldson, DH Giancarlo Stanton, LF Oswaldo Cabrera, CF Harrison Bader, SS Isaiah Kiner-Falefa, C Kyle Higashioka

Blue Jays: DH George Springer, SS Bo Bichette, 1B Vladimir Guerrero JR, C Alajandro Kirk, 3B Matt Chapman, RF Teoscar Hernandez, LF Raimel Tapia, 2B Whit Merriflield CF Jacvkie Bradley Jr


Yankees: Aaron “No I’m not related to Aaron Judge” Boone
Blue Jays: John “No I’m not related to Aaron Judge” Schneider

Weather Forecast 

Showers, 61*, Humidity 76%, Precipitation chance 80%, wind 19mph.  

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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