New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/06/2022

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jul 05, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, July 6, 2022
Venue:  PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA 
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet PT

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -240, Pirates +200; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -240, Pirates +200; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -240, Pirates +200; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

New York Yankees:  58-22 (1st place, AL East)
Pittsburgh Pirates:  32-47 (3rd place, NL Central)
 
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Recent Form
New York Yankees:  6-4 last 10
Pittsburgh Pirates:  3-7 last 10
 
 
 

New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview and Analysis

 
The Yankees were on a 2 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in a 3-game series and had Monday off as a rest day. They enter this game with a 58-22 record overall and have a road record of 24-13. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Pirates on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Jameson Taillon is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Luis Severino is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-3 with a 3.35 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Houston Astros. 
 
The Pirates have lost 2 of their last 3 games and enter this one off of a loss. They split their last series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-2 in a 4-game series and had Monday off as a rest day. They enter this game with a 32-47 record overall and have a home record of 19-22. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the 1st game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .662 OPS. José Quintana is on the mound on Tuesday while Mitch Keller will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-5 with a 5.14 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 0 HRs, and 4 BB with 4 Ks on 9 hits through 4 IP against the Washington Nationals. 

 

Yankees vs Pirates Prediction

The current betting odds have not been listed for this game yet but the Yankees will likely be a heavy favorite in this game. The Yankees have been playing very well in their recent games, they lost their last game against the Guardians with a few players out of their lineup for that one, including Aaron Judge, but they have had a rest day now and should play much better in this game. The Yankees have the best record in the MLB while the Pirates have one of the worst records. The Pirates played well over the weekend with a series split against the Brewers but the Brewers are no Yankees and the Pirates are going to be in for a lot here. Severino is pitching for the Yankees and he has been very good this season, he was not great in his last 2 starts, both against the Astros, but he was not bad either and he will likely pitch a better game here. The Pirates have Keller starting here and he has been awful all season, allowing a lot of runs in his starts. That is very dangerous against a team like the Yankees who have been scoring a lot of runs in their games and their offense is so good that they have come back from behind in multiple games this season to win. The Yankees should be fresh here with the day off and they will likely blow the Pirates out in this game. The way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win on the runline.
 
Yankees Pirates Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 6, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 9 Pirates 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Yankees: 58-22 (+23.4 Units) ML in all games. 10-3 (+7 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 30-19 UNDER against right-handed starters.
Pittsburgh Pirates: 112-189 (-25.2 Units) ML in all games. 14-33 (-15.3 Units) ML in an inter-league game. 27-16 UNDER when playing on Wednesday.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Yankees:  J. Loaisiga (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. D. German (SP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Green (RP) out for season - Elbow.
Pittsburgh Pirates:  B. Gamel (LF) Prob Tues - Hamstring. Y. Tsutsugo (1B) Prob Tues - Back. K. Newman (SS) Mid July - Groin.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"You don't expect him to throw three sliders in a row. I just got jammed trying to hit the ball up the middle and got out." - Aaron Hicks after their loss against the Guardians on Sunday.
 
 
"The homer, when he hit it, my first thought was, ‘I hope a fan gets out of the way because this ball is coming in hot. It's right at our vantage point right there, so I was just hoping somebody got out of the way." - Derek Shelton after his team’s win against the Brewers on Saturday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Yankees
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Josh Donaldson (R) 3B
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Jose Trevino (R) C
Aaron Hicks (S) CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS
Joey Gallo (L) RF
Marwin Gonzalez (S) LF
 
Pittsburgh Pirates
Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B
Bryan Reynolds (S) CF
Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH
Michael Chavis (R) 1B
Bligh Madris (L) RF
Oneil Cruz (L) SS
Jack Suwinski (L) LF
Michael Perez (L) C
Tucupita Marcano (L) 2B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.333)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (83)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (29)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (59)
Stolen Bases:  Isiah Kiner-Falefa (12)
Wins:  Jameson Taillon (9)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (15)
ERA:  Albert Abreu (0.00)
 
Pittsburgh Pirates
Batting Average:  Liover Peguero (.333)
Hits:  Bryan Reynolds (72)
Home Runs:  Bryan Reynolds (15)
RBI:  Bryan Reynolds (32)
Stolen Bases:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (9)
Wins:  Dillon Peters (4)
Saves:  David Bednar (12)
ERA:  Max Kranick (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)
Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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