New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2022

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jul 25, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, July 26, 2022
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch:  TBS

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -105, Mets -115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -105, Mets -115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -105, Mets -115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

New York Yankees:  66-31 (1st place, AL East)
New York Mets:  59-37 (1st place, NL East)
 
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Recent Form
New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10
New York Mets:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

New York Yankees vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis

 
The Yankees won 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 66-31 record overall and have a road record of 29-19. This is the series opener of a 2-game series with the Mets on Tuesday and they had Monday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .777 OPS. Nestor Cortes Jr. is their starting pitcher on Monday while Jordan Montgomery is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-2 with a 3.24 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 7 hits through 6.1 IP against the Houston Astros. 
 
The Mets were on a 3 game losing streak but now enter this game off of a win. They lost their last series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 59-37 record overall and have a home record of 29-17. This is the 1st game of a 2-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday and they had Monday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .719 OPS. Carlos Carrasco is on the mound on Monday while Taijuan Walker will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-2 with a 2.55 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Chicago Cubs. 

 

Yankees vs Mets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight underdog in this game. The Yankees have not been playing great in their recent games but they still won their last series against the Orioles and still have the best record in the MLB right now. They won their last game against the Orioles 6-0 and finally had a great pitching performance in that game. They have Montgomery starting here and he has not been very good in his recent starts but the Mets lineup has also been very cold and he should be able to hold them from scoring a lot of runs here. The Mets have not been playing well coming out of the break but they finally got a win against the Padres in their last game. They were not scoring many runs before that game though and they will likely struggle again here as the Yankees will get up for this city rivalry. The Mets also have Walker starting here and he has been great this season but their bullpen has not been great recently and the Yankees have still been scoring a lot of runs recently. The Yankees offense will not stop in this game and all the value is on them here at this price with the kinds of numbers they have been putting up all season. The Yankees have the better offense and it will prevail in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
 
Yankees Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 26, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Mets 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 

New York Yankees: 66-31 (+16.3 Units) ML in all games. 62-28 (+14.2 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 14-7 OVER off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival.
New York Mets: 162-156 (-25.2 Units) ML in all games. 50-54 (-8.9 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 23-14 OVER after 2 or more consecutive home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Yankees:  A. Hicks (CF) Ques Tues - Hamstring. M. King (SP) out for season - Elbow. L. Severino (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
New York Mets:  D. Smith (1B) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. McCann (C) Early Aug - Oblique. T. Nido (C) Ques Sat - Hand.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It's always big to win a series. You don't take that for granted whether you're in a hot streak like we've been at times this year or you're struggling a little bit. Series wins are not to be taken lightly." - Aaron Judge after their win against the Orioles on Sunday.
 
 
“You can't hit a five-run homer and you can't hit a four-run single. Sometimes you want something too much, and something like that might let you kind of get back into the flow of who you are.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s win against the Padres on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Aaron Judge (R) DH
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Matt Carpenter (L) RF
Aaron Hicks (S) CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS
Jose Trevino (R) C
Joey Gallo (L) LF
 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Starling Marte (R) RF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH
Mark Canha (R) LF
Luis Guillorme (L) 3B
Tomas Nido (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.333)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (105)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (37)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (81)
Stolen Bases:  Isiah Kiner-Falefa (14)
Wins:  Jameson Taillon (10)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (17)
ERA:  David McKay (0.00)
 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Khalil Lee (.500)
Hits:  Pete Alonso (97)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (25)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (82)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (12)
Wins:  Carlos Carrasco (10)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (21)
ERA:  Stephen Nogosek (0.71)
 
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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