New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/14/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 13, 2023
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, June 14, 2023
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -105, Mets -115; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -105, Mets -115; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -105, Mets -115; Over/Under:  6.5 runs

Season Record

New York Yankees:  38-29 (3rd place, AL East)
New York Mets:  31-35 (4th place, NL East)

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Recent Form
New York Yankees:  4-6 last 10
New York Mets:  2-8 last 10



New York Yankees vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis


The Yankees are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-29 record overall and have a road record of 17-12. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .718 OPS. Luis Severino is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-1 with a 2.84 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Mets are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and lost their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 31-35 record overall and have a home record of 15-12. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .715 OPS. Max Scherzer is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Justin Verlander is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-3 with a 4.85 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 3 strikeouts on 7 hits through 3 innings played against the Atlanta Braves.


Yankees vs Mets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees are only in 3rd place in their division but they have been playing a lot better lately and are starting to get hot now as they try to chase down the leading Rays. They didn't play great in their series over the weekend but their pitching was still great and they have one of the best bullpens in the league right now. They also have Cole on the mound here and he has been really good in his starts all season as he hasn't given up many runs at all. The Mets haven't really been great on offense lately either and they are going to struggle even more to put up runs in this game with how well Cole has been pitching. The Mets also have their own ace on the mound here in Verlander but he hasn't been the same starter as he was on the Astros and has given up more runs in his few starts this season. He just gave up 4 runs in his last start too and even though the Yankees haven't been putting up a ton of runs lately, they still have a decent offense in the top half of the MLB and they will have some extra motivation to win against their cross town rivals in this Subway Series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Yankees Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 14, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Yankees 5 Mets 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


New York Yankees: 17-12 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 32-24 (+6.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 30-19 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150. 14-8 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 or less.

New York Mets: 31-35 (-16 units) on the moneyline in all games. 26-20 (-6.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 8-1 under at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 17-10 UNDER in home games.

Key Injuries


New York Yankees:  I. Hamilton (RP) Late June - Groin. H. Bader (CF) Late June - Hamstring. G. Allen (CF) Early Aug - Hip. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Judge (RF) Out indefinitely - Toe. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. C. Rodon (SP) Late June - Elbow. F. Montas (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.

New York Mets:  E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. P. Alonso (1B) Early July - Wrist. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. J. Quintana (SP) Late June - Ribs. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“I think I was looking too fast (at) the runner and just missed the ball. That's on me. The throw was perfect." - Gleyber Torres after their loss against the Red Sox in their game on Sunday.


“Absolutely we miss (Alonso). But we have to get the job done.” - Omar Narvaez on the absence of Pete Alonso after their loss against the Pirates in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


New York Yankees
Willie Calhoun (L) RF
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Josh Donaldson (R) DH
Jake Bauers (L) LF
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Billy McKinney (L) CF
Jose Trevino (R) C
Oswaldo Cabrera (S) SS

New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Alvarez (R) DH
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Mark Canha (R) RF
Omar Narvaez (L) C
Mark Vientos (R) 1B

Statistical Leaders


New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Billy McKinney (.294)
Hits:  Anthony Rizzo (63)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (19)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (40)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (14)
Wins:  Gerrit Cole (7)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (8)
ERA:  Tommy Kahnle (0.00)

New York Mets
Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)
Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (70)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (22)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (49)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (18)
Wins:  Kodai Senga (6)
Saves:  David Robertson (10)
ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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