by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jun 12, 2023
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, June 13, 2023
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch: TBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Yankees +125, Mets -145; Over/Under: 7 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Yankees +125, Mets -145; Over/Under: 7 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Yankees +125, Mets -145; Over/Under: 7 runs
Season Record
New York Yankees: 38-29 (3rd place, AL East)
New York Mets: 31-35 (4th place, NL East)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB: 60-44 (+$10.2K) start this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
New York Yankees: 4-6 last 10
New York Mets: 2-8 last 10
New York Yankees vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Yankees are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-29 record overall and have a road record of 17-12. This is the series opener of a 2-game series with the Mets on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .718 OPS. Clarke Schmidt was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Luis Severino is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 0-1 with a 5.75 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 3 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Chicago White Sox.
The Mets are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and lost their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 31-35 record overall and have a home record of 15-12. This is the 1st game of a 2-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .715 OPS. Carlos Carrasco was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Max Scherzer is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-2 with a 3.71 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 10 strikeouts on 11 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Atlanta Braves.
Yankees vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Subway Series starts with this game on Tuesday and the Mets have been struggling a lot in their games lately as they enter this series. The Yankees also lost their series to the Red Sox over the weekend though and haven't been at their best lately either. The Mets do have the advantage with the pitching matchup though as Scherzer is on the mound for them here. Scherzer is coming off a bad start in his last one as he gave up 5 earned runs but he was pitching so well in his previous starts that he will be looking to bounce back at home here with a much better performance. Severino is up for the Yankees and he hasn't been bad this season but he has also been dealing with injuries that have only allowed him to make 4 starts this year. The Mets haven't been great lately but they have the better pitching matchup here and a series against their cross town rivals is sure to light a spark at home and help get them out of their slump as of late. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
Yankees Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 13, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 3 Yankees 2.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today. And if you enjoyed this New York Yankees New York Mets prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.
MLB Betting Trends
New York Yankees: 17-12 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 9-2 (+7.6 units) on the moneyline after a one run loss. 19-9 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175. 26-16 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5.
New York Mets: 31-35 (-16 units) on the moneyline in all games. 14-20 (-13.6 units) on the moneyline after a loss. 16-6 UNDER after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. 17-10 UNDER in home games.
Key Injuries
New York Yankees: I. Hamilton (RP) Late June - Groin. H. Bader (CF) Late June - Hamstring. G. Allen (CF) Early Aug - Hip. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Judge (RF) Out indefinitely - Toe. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. C. Rodon (SP) Late June - Elbow. F. Montas (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.
New York Mets: E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. P. Alonso (1B) Early July - Wrist. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. J. Quintana (SP) Late June - Ribs. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“I think I was looking too fast (at) the runner and just missed the ball. That's on me. The throw was perfect." - Gleyber Torres after their loss against the Red Sox in their game on Sunday.
“Absolutely we miss (Alonso). But we have to get the job done.” - Omar Narvaez on the absence of Pete Alonso after their loss against the Pirates in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
New York Yankees
Willie Calhoun (L) RF
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Josh Donaldson (R) DH
Jake Bauers (L) LF
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Billy McKinney (L) CF
Jose Trevino (R) C
Oswaldo Cabrera (S) SS
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Alvarez (R) DH
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Mark Canha (R) RF
Omar Narvaez (L) C
Mark Vientos (R) 1B
Statistical Leaders
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Billy McKinney (.294)
Hits: Anthony Rizzo (63)
Home Runs: Aaron Judge (19)
RBI: Aaron Judge (40)
Stolen Bases: Anthony Volpe (14)
Wins: Gerrit Cole (7)
Saves: Clay Holmes (8)
ERA: Tommy Kahnle (0.00)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (70)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (22)
RBI: Pete Alonso (49)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (18)
Wins: Kodai Senga (6)
Saves: David Robertson (10)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
