by Rod Pearson
Thursday, May 29, 2025
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Friday, May 30, 2025
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: Apple TV+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Yankees -102, Dodgers -118; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Yankees +100, Dodgers -120; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Yankees +100, Dodgers -120; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
New York Yankees: 35-20 (1st place, AL East)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 34-22 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
New York Yankees: 9-1 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 5-5 last 10
New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Yankees are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-20 record overall and have a road record of 17-11. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .809 OPS. Clarke Schmidt was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Max Fried is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-0 with a 1.29 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits through 7.1 IP against the Colorado Rockies.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-22 record overall and have a home record of 19-8. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .799 OPS. Clayton Kershaw was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Tony Gonsolin is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-1 with a 4.68 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 4 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings played against the New York Mets.
Yankees vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 35-20 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL East with a big lead in the division. They have also been a good road team this year with their 17-11 road record. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 34-22 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL West. They have looked a lot better in their own ballpark too with their 19-8 home record. Both of these teams have looked great this season and have been rolling in their games lately, but the Yankees have some extra motivation here. They lost to the Dodgers in the World Series last year so they are going to bring their best effort in this series since they still have something to prove against this team, and this is a great pitching matchup for the Yankees to take advantage of. The Yankees are going with their ace in this one as Fried is making his start. Fried is 7-0 this season with a 1.29 ERA and hasn't been giving up any runs in most of his starts. The team has won 2 games in a row now with him starting and he only gave up 1 earned run in his last start too. The Dodgers will have Gonsolin on the mound here and he hasn't been bad this year, but he hasn't been great either. He is 2-1 with a 4.68 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs in his starts. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start too and the team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting. The Yankees have plenty of reasons to win this 1st game of this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
Yankees Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, May 30, 2025 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Dodgers 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
New York Yankees: 218-173 (-6.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 70-75 (-8.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 150-132 (-13.3 units) on the moneyline vs a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better. 116-99 (-17.6 units) on the moneyline after a win.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 22-13 (+5.6 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 214-118 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 29-13 (+11 units) on the moneyline vs an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better. 41-20 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better.
Key Injuries
New York Yankees: F. Cruz (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. O. Cabrera (3B) Ten Day IL - Ankle. J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) Ten Day IL - Side. G. Stanton (DH) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. M. Stroman (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. J. Brubaker (SP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Pacheco (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Los Angeles Dodgers: K. Yates (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring. B. Snell (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Sasaki (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. E. Phillips (RP) Fifteen Day IL - forearm. B. Treinen (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. M. Kopech (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Glasnow (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. E. Henriquez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Foot. K. Hurt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. E. Sheehan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. M. Grove (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Ryan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
"I guess that’s what a sports fan feels like when you’re watching the games -- you’re on the edge of your seat. We were in here cheering every pitch, every strike. It’s a lot of fun.” - Clarke Schmidt after their win against the LA Angels in their game on Wednesday.
“It wasn’t his best stuff but he found a way to limit damage and compete out there. He willed himself through five innings. I thought he got a little better in the last couple innings and did enough to help us win a game.” - Dave Roberts on Clayton Kershaw after his team’s loss against the Guardians in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
New York Yankees
Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Aaron Judge (R) DH
Cody Bellinger (L) RF
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Jasson Domínguez (S) LF
DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B
J.C. Escarra (L) C
Oswald Peraza (R) 3B
Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Teoscar Hernández (R) RF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
Andy Pages (R) LF
Tommy Edman (S) CF
Enrique Hernández (R) 3B
Miguel Rojas (R) 2B
Statistical Leaders
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Aaron Judge (.391)
Hits: Aaron Judge (81)
Home Runs: Aaron Judge (18)
RBI: Aaron Judge (47)
Stolen Bases: Anthony Volpe (7)
Wins: Max Fried (7)
Saves: Luke Weaver (8)
ERA: Brent Headrick (0.00)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Hyeseong Kim (.366)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (63)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (20)
RBI: Teoscar Hernández (42)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (11)
Wins: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (6)
Saves: Tanner Scott (10)
ERA: Evan Phillips (0.00)
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (10th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
