by Rod Pearson
Sunday, Jul 16, 2023
Game Time: 9:38 pm ET, Monday, July 17, 2023
Venue: Angel Stadium of Anaheim, Anaheim, CA
Where to Watch: BSW
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Yankees +115, Angels -135; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Yankees +115, Angels -135; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Yankees +115, Angels -135; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
New York Yankees: 50-43 (4th place, AL East)
Los Angeles Angels: 46-47 (3rd place, AL West)
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Recent Form
New York Yankees: 4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Angels: 2-8 last 10
New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Angels Preview and Analysis
The Yankees entered their last series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1. They enter this game with a 50-43 record overall and have a road record of 22-20. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the LA Angels on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Colorado Rockies still to be played on Sunday. They also lost the series opener of that series on Friday but won the 2nd game on Saturday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .710 OPS. Gerrit Cole is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Luis Severino is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 1-4 with a 7.38 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 10 hits through 2.2 IP against the Baltimore Orioles.
The Angels entered their last series on a 5 game losing streak and got swept 2-0 in their 2-game series against the LA Dodgers. They enter this game with a 46-47 record overall and have a home record of 24-21. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the Houston Astros still to be played on Sunday. They also lost the 1st game of that series on Friday but won the 2nd game on Saturday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .776 OPS. Tyler Anderson is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Griffin Canning is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 6-4 with a 4.62 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 3 homers, and 1 BB with 0 strikeouts on 5 hits through 2.2 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Yankees vs Angels Prediction
The current betting odds have the Angels listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Angels haven't been playing well lately as they have entered a huge slump that has put them in a bad position approaching the trade deadline, but they finally got a much needed win against division rivals Houston Astros on Saturday in a huge comeback win which should give them some momentum going forward now. Their pitching hasn't been great in their games but their offense has been really good all season and even with the injuries they have in their lineup, they are still putting up a ton of runs in their games lately. The Yankees have Severino starting in this game and he hasn't been good this season. He has been battling injuries and has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts, giving up 7 runs in his last start too. He is going to struggle against this hot Angels offense and the Yankees haven't really had a great offense this year to offer him plenty of run support in this game. The Yankees have also been missing key pieces in their lineup but their offense has been struggling because of it and they will have a tough time putting up runs on Canning here since he has been a better starter at home. The Angels will use the momentum they have to try and turn things around now and they are going to be desperate to start winning games at home with that hot offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Angels to win this game.
Yankees Angels Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Monday, July 17, 2023 (9:38 pm ET start time) is Angels 7 Yankees 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
New York Yankees: 13-5 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline after a loss by 2 runs or less. 14-8 (+6.1 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 34-21 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 30-19 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Los Angeles Angels: 27-25 (-9.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 46-48 (-8.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 24-13 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 22-13 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher.
Key Injuries
New York Yankees: J. Donaldson (3B) Ques Sun - Calf. A. Judge (RF) Out indefinitely - Toe. F. Montas (SP) Late July - Shoulder. L. Gil (RP) Late July - Elbow. W. Calhoun (DH) Late July - Quadricep. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. J. Bauers (LF) Late July - Shoulder. J. Cordero (RP) out for season - Suspension. G. Allen (CF) Early Aug - Hip. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.
Los Angeles Angels: S. Ohtani (SP) Ques Fri - Finger. S. Bachman (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Rendon (3B) Out indefinitely - Shin. J. Adell (LF) Out indefinitely - Oblique. B. Joyce (RP) Mid Aug - Hand. M. Trout (CF) Early Sept - Wrist. B. Drury (3B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. G. Urshela (3B) out for season - Pelvis. J. Suarez (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Stassi (C) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Warren (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Quijada (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. O'Hoppe (C) Late Aug - Shoulder. C. Rodriguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“He's definitely swinging better. Most of us in this room have seen him dialed in, so I don't want to say he's there because that's a different level. But I feel like the last 10 days, two weeks, he definitely continues to move in the right direction.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Saturday.
“To say that win was needed is an understatement.” - Phil Nevin after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Saturday.
Starting Lineups
New York Yankees
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) RF
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Josh Donaldson (R) DH
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Billy McKinney (L) LF
Harrison Bader (R) CF
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Kyle Higashioka (R) C
Los Angeles Angels
Zach Neto (R) SS
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Taylor Ward (R) LF
Mickey Moniak (L) CF
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Mike Moustakas (L) 1B
Hunter Renfroe (R) RF
Matt Thaiss (L) C
Luis Rengifo (S) 2B
Statistical Leaders
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Aaron Judge (.291)
Hits: Gleyber Torres (89)
Home Runs: Aaron Judge (19)
RBI: Aaron Judge (40)
Stolen Bases: Anthony Volpe (16)
Wins: Gerrit Cole (9)
Saves: Clay Holmes (11)
ERA: Tommy Kahnle (0.55)
Los Angeles Angels
Batting Average: Mickey Moniak (.329)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (106)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (33)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (72)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (11)
Wins: Shohei Ohtani (7)
Saves: Carlos Estevez (21)
ERA: Carlos Estevez (1.75)
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)
Los Angeles Angels: Phil Nevin (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
