New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/11/2025

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 10, 2025
Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Wednesday, June 11, 2025
Venue:  Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Where to Watch:  MLBN, Prime Video


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -121, Royals -101; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -120, Royals +100; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -120, Royals +100; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

New York Yankees:  39-25 (1st place, AL East)
Kansas City Royals:  34-32 (4th place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10
Kansas City Royals:  5-5 last 10



New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Preview and Analysis


The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-25 record overall and have a road record of 18-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Royals on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .810 OPS. Max Fried is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Clarke Schmidt is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-3 with a 4.04 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 7 hits through 5.2 IP against the Cleveland Guardians.

The Royals are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-32 record overall and have a home record of 19-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .677 OPS. Rookie pitcher Noah Cameron is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Kris Bubic is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-3 with a 1.43 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 9 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.


Yankees vs Royals Prediction

The current betting odds have the Royals listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 39-25 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL East. They have been a good road team too with their 18-13 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Royals have looked good in their games this season with their 34-32 record overall, but that record has them near the bottom of the AL Central in a competitive division. They have looked a lot better in their own ballpark with their 19-13 home record this year. Neither team has been hot coming into this series and the Royals have looked better as a team in their home games this season. The Yankees have been one of the best in the MLB for most of the season, but this is a game that the Royals can try to steal at home with this pitching matchup. The Royals are going to have Bubic on the mound here and he has been one of their best starters all year. He is 5-3 with a 1.43 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs at all this year. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and the team has been finding success with him lately, winning 2 of the last 3 games he started in. Schmidt is on the mound for the Yankees in this one and he hasn't looked bad this season, but he hasn't been as good as Bubic has been either. Schmidt is 2-3 with a 4.04 ERA and he has been giving up more runs in his starts lately. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and even the team has been struggling with him on the mound lately, losing 3 of the last 4 games he started in. This is the best chance for the Royals to take a game in this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Royals to win this game.

Yankees Royals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 11, 2025 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Royals 4 Yankees 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


New York Yankees: 56-28 (+16.5 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 111-87 (+11 units) on the moneyline in road games. 118-95 (+13.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 53-30 UNDER against AL Central opponents. 

Kansas City Royals: 34-52 (-8.2 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 178-217 (-12.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 101-154 (-8.9 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 48-34 UNDER against AL East opponents.

Key Injuries


New York Yankees:  L. Weaver (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring. O. Cabrera (3B) Ten Day IL - Ankle. G. Stanton (DH) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. M. Stroman (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. J. Brubaker (SP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Gil (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Kansas City Royals:  H. Harvey (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. L. Erceg (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. A. Marsh (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. McArthur (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. S. Long (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. K. Wright (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“They had their hitting shoes on. They beat us here this weekend.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Sunday.


“We count on Salvy. He’s made a career out of this. He’s a Hall of Fame player who had a tough day yesterday. He knows how to bounce back from tough days.” - Matt Quatraro after his team’s win against the White Sox in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


New York Yankees
Ben Rice (L) DH
Aaron Judge (R) RF
Cody Bellinger (L) LF
Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 3B
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Trent Grisham (L) CF
DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B
J.C. Escarra (L) C

Kansas City Royals
Jonathan India (R) 2B
Bobby Witt Jr. (R) DH
Maikel Garcia (R) SS
Vinnie Pasquantino (L) 1B
Salvador Perez (R) C
Jac Caglianone (L) RF
Nick Loftin (R) 3B
John Rave (L) LF
Kyle Isbel (L) CF

Statistical Leaders


New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.396)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (95)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (23)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (55)
Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (9)
Wins:  Carlos Rodón (8)
Saves:  Luke Weaver (8)
ERA:  Adam Ottavino (0.00)

Kansas City Royals
Batting Average:  Luke Maile (.375)
Hits:  Bobby Witt (75)
Home Runs:  Vinnie Pasquantino (10)
RBI:  Vinnie Pasquantino (38)
Stolen Bases:  Bobby Witt (21)
Wins:  Kris Bubic (5)
Saves:  Carlos Estévez (19)
ERA:  Hunter Harvey (0.00)

Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)
Kansas City Royals: Matt Quatraro (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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