New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/02/2022

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jul 01, 2022
Game Time: 6:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 2, 2022
Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  BSGL

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -150, Guardians +130; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -150, Guardians +130; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -150, Guardians +130; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

New York Yankees:  56-21 (1st place, AL East)
Cleveland Guardians:  39-34 (2nd place, AL Central)
 
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Recent Form
New York Yankees:  6-4 last 10
Cleveland Guardians:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis

 
The Yankees were on a 4 game winning streak before entering this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Oakland Athletics 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series but lost a 1-off game against the Houston Astros right after. They enter this game with a 56-21 record overall and have a road record of 22-12. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Gerrit Cole is their starting pitcher on Friday while Nestor Cortes is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-3 with a 2.51 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Houston Astros. 
 
The Guardians enter this game on a 2 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Minnesota Twins 3-2 in a 5-game series. They enter this game with a 39-34 record overall and have a home record of 19-15. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the 1st game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .691 OPS. Aaron Civale is on the mound on Friday while Triston McKenzie will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Saturday. He is 4-6 with a 4.03 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 7 ER, 2 HRs, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 8 hits through 6 IP against the Minnesota Twins. 

 

Yankees vs Guardians Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game. The Yankees just lost their last game against the Astros who are also a very good team and have the 2nd best record in the AL this season, behind the Yankees. The Yankees only lost that game 2-1 in a very close game and their last 3 losses have all come against the Astros now. They are going up against a Guardians team that they have dominated this season in the few games against them so far but the Guardians have been getting much better since those games. The Yankees are still the best team in the MLB though and they are never out of a game no matter how far they are behind. Cortes has been having a great season, he has slipped a little in his last 2 starts but he has not even been that bad and will bounce back with a better performance here. McKenzie has not been great for the Guardians this season and he will allow some runs against such a good offense that the Yankees have. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
 
Yankees Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 2, 2022 (6:10 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Guardians 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Yankees: 56-21 (+23 Units) ML in all games. 52-20 (+18.8 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 15-7 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150.
Cleveland Guardians: 56-88 (-11.3 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 22-22 (-7 Units) ML at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 25-19 UNDER when playing on Saturday.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Yankees:  A. Chapman (RP) Prob Fri - Achilles. J. Loaisiga (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. D. German (SP) Late July - Shoulder.
Cleveland Guardians:  A. Hedges (C) Out indefinitely - Concussion. J. Karinchak (RP) Early July - Back. C. Morris (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"They're good. They're one of the best teams at keeping you from scoring as there is. So they've done a good job of, for the most part, holding us down. That's going to happen sometimes against good teams." - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Astros on Thursday.
 
 
"I'm glad they're gone. That's a lot and they're good. I thought we played them pretty tough, but they're a good team. They'll be around. They're a good team." - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Twins on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) LF
Josh Donaldson (R) DH
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Jose Trevino (R) C
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS
Joey Gallo (L) RF
 
Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) RF
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Josh Naylor (L) DH
Owen Miller (R) 1B
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Richie Palacios (L) LF
Sandy Leon (S) C
Myles Straw (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.333)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (82)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (29)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (59)
Stolen Bases:  Isiah Kiner-Falefa (11)
Wins:  Jameson Taillon (9)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (14)
ERA:  JP Sears (0.00)
 
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Andres Gimenez (.308)
Hits:  Jose Ramirez (80)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (16)
RBI:  Jose Ramirez (63)
Stolen Bases:  Jose Ramirez (12)
Wins:  Nick Sandlin (4)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (18)
ERA:  Ian Gibaut (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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