New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/12/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, April 12, 2024

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -142, Guardians +120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -142, Guardians +120; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -142, Guardians +120; Over/Under:  9 runs

New York Yankees:  10-3 (1st place, AL East)

Cleveland Guardians:  9-3 (1st place, AL Central)

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New York Yankees:  7-3 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  7-3 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 10-3 record overall and have a road record of 6-1. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .733 OPS. Marcus Stroman was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Clarke Schmidt is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-0 with a 4.66 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits through 4.1 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Guardians are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 9-3 record overall and have a home record of 2-1. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .742 OPS. Tanner Bibee was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Carlos Carrasco is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA this season. His team won their last game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 1 hit through 3 innings played against the Minnesota Twins.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 10-3 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL East. They have looked great in their road games too with their 6-1 road record. Meanwhile, the Guardians have also looked great in their games this season with their 9-3 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL Central. They won their only home series against the White Sox in their last one so they are 2-1 in their home games this season. The Guardians have a slightly better OPS right now in these first few games of the season, but there really isn't much between these two and the Yankees do have the stronger lineup from top to bottom. The Yankees also have Schmidt starting in this game and he is 0-0 with a 4.66 ERA, but he did pitch well in his last start only giving up 2 runs. Carrasco is on the mound for the Guardians and he is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA, coming off a start which he only gave up 1 run in, but he was also a really up and down starter last year while Schmidt was a bit more consistent. Both of these starters will likely give up some runs in this game but the Yankees do have the stronger lineup and they will be looking to bounce back coming off their rest day since they ended their last series with a loss to the Marlins, giving the Marlins just their 2nd win of the season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Yankees Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, April 12, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Guardians 4.

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New York Yankees: 69-63 (-10.7 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 78-68 (-7.8 units) on the moneyline after a loss. 37-32 (-5.3 units) on the moneyline after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games. 5-0 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 5-1 UNDER in road games. 

Cleveland Guardians: 181-162 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 63-59 (+17.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 121-108 (+9.4 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 18-7 UNDER as a home underdog of +125 to +175. CARLOS CARRASCO is 10-5 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

New York Yankees:  J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow. D. LeMahieu (2B) Mid April - Foot. M. Moore (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. G. Cole (SP) Early June - Elbow. T. Kahnle (RP) Mid April - Shoulder. O. Peraza (SS) Mid April - Shoulder. L. Trivino (RP) Mid July - Elbow. J. Dominguez (CF) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) Mid July - Back.

Cleveland Guardians:  S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. G. Williams (SP) Mid April - Elbow. A. Martinez (2B) Mid April - Foot. X. Curry (SP) Mid April - Illness. B. Lively (RP) Mid April - Illness. S. Hentges (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“I was just a little off. That's not me at all.” - Marcus Stroman after their loss against the Marlins in their game on Wednesday.

“Every time I'm in the locker room, I get to be able to hang out with my brother. It’s a new special moment. Every end of inning I get to throw a ball over to him. It’s special. I’m super grateful to be able to share these experiences with him.” - Bo Naylor on playing with his brother Josh after their win against the White Sox in their game on Wednesday.

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Juan Soto (L) RF

Aaron Judge (R) CF

Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH

Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B

Gleyber Torres (R) 2B

Alex Verdugo (L) LF

Jon Berti (R) 3B

Jose Trevino (R) C

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Andrés Giménez (L) 2B

José Ramírez (S) 3B

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Will Brennan (L) RF

Ramón Laureano (R) CF

Bo Naylor (L) C

Estevan Florial (L) DH

Brayan Rocchio (S) SS

Batting Average:  Anthony Volpe (.372)

Hits:  Juan Soto (18)

Home Runs:  Giancarlo Stanton (4)

RBI:  Juan Soto (12)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (3)

Wins:  Luke Weaver (3)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (5)

ERA:  Clay Holmes (0.00)

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.386)

Hits:  Steven Kwan (22)

Home Runs:  Josh Naylor (3)

RBI:  José Ramírez (10)

Stolen Bases:  Ramón Laureano (3)

Wins:  Shane Bieber (2)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (4)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)