New York Yankees Vs Cleveland Guardians Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 10/15/2022

by James Q

Friday, Oct 14, 2022

New York Yankees Vs Cleveland Guardians Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 10/15/2022 

Game Time: 7:37 pm ET, Saturday, October 15th, 2022
Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio
Where to Watch: TBS, MLBN

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Moneyline:  Yankees -115, Guardians -105 6.5
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Yankees -115, Guardians -105 6.5
PointsBet:  Moneyline: Yankees -120, Guardians +105 6.5

Season Record

Guardians: 92-70, 1st place AL Central. / 0-1
Yankees: 99-63, 1st place Al East. / 1-0

This preview is for Game 3 of the series.  There was some severe confusion in betting this series.  Baseball had oddly scheduled the first two games of this series to have a 1 day break in between to get a spot in the full national broadcast.  They were to play Tuesday and Thursday Games 1 and Games 2… Then they were to fly to Cleveand for game 3 Friday night.  That did not happen as Thursday Night became a rained out game.  So Game 2 is now a Friday Day Game with game 3 on Saturday Night.  Do you have that?  It caused a lot of trouble… and now has led to a couple of very rested teams.   So this preview is for GAME 3 on Saturday Night.

The ALDS matchup of Yankees vs Guardians has brought a lot of excitement but not a lot of games yet.  At press time Game 2 is in the fourth inning with a Yankees lead of 2-0.  

The New York Yankees will arrive in Cleveland with a lot of star power (Judge, Rizzo, Torres, Stanton), a slice of history (Judge 62 homers), and all those powerful Yankee postseason expectations. Yankee Manager Aaron Boone has a top-notch squad that hits the ball great and pitches fantastically… He also has to answer for the fact that after one of the best starts in Yankee history to any season… the team dipped.  It dipped so hard they fell a game short of 100 wins when they were on pace for 110 after the first 3 months.  In game 1 of this series the Yankees got the win… (Game 2 could go either way, as they are now tied 2-2 with more innings to play.).. Yankees fans insist that this is a World Series year and are betting accordingly.  

The Cleveland Guardians are the overlooked squad in this matchup… and for most of the season.  They do have plenty of talent though.  3B Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs, batting average, and OPS… he bats third in the line-up after Steven Kwan and Amed Rosario… and though none of those are household names, they have contributed to a team that is 7th in batting average.  The Guardians pitchers are really the reason the team is alive at the moment: Quantrill, Bieber, Civale all have been throwing well.  The team is top-6 in every pitching category.  

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New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Review and Analysis

Recent Form


Offensive Analysis

The Yankees finished the season 2nd in runs scored with 4.98 per game, 15th in batting average with .241, and 5th in OBP with .325.  

Cleveland finished the season 16th in runs scored per game with 4.31, 7th in batting average with .254, and 12th in OBP with .316.

Defensive Analysis

The Yankees Pitchers finished the season 3rd in ERA with 3.30, 3rd in WHIP with 1.12, and their fielders are 7th in errors with 79 on the season.

Cleveland’s pitchers finished the season 6th in ERA with 3.47, 5th in WHIP with 1.16, and the fielders are 5th in errors with only 75 on the season.

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Our prediction for Saturday, October 15th is… Guardians 4 - Yankees 3

The Guardians are very well rested and will push for a win on their home field.  The Yankees are fantastic by the numbers but lost A LOT of games toward the end of the season.  They aren’t the type of team that gets SWEEPS.  So the Guardians should be expected to grind one out with home field advantage… especially after a Friday Day game in New York followed by a flight to Cleveland followed by The Guardians waking up in their own beds tomorrow morning. 

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MLB Betting Trends

The Guardians are 209-180 in all games the last 3 seasons (+21.7 UNITS).
The Guardians are 18-9 on the road when the total is 7 or less the last 3 seasons.
The Yankees are 17-5 this season at home when the money line is -100 to -150

Players to Watch

Yankees: RHP Luis Servino, 3.18 ERA, 112 strikeouts in 102 innings pitched. 1.00 WHIP. This 28 year old Dominican born pitcher has great career numbers.  A really strong arm also brings a measure of control.

Guardians: RHP Triston McKenzie, 11-11, 2.96 ERA, 190 strikeouts in 191 innings pitched. 0.95 WHIP.

Starting Lineups
Yankees: 2B DJ LaMahieu, 1B Anthony Rizzo, LF Oswaldo Cabrera, 3B Josh Donaldson, SS Oswald Peraze, DH Aaron Judge, RF Marwin Gonzalez, C Kyle Higashioka, CF Aaron Hicks

Guardians: LF Steven Kwan, SS Amed Rosario, 3B Jose Ramirez, RF Oscar Gonzalez, 1B Josh Naylor, DH Owen Miller, 2B Andres Giminez, C Austin Hedges, CF Myles Straw


Yankees: Aaron “I am history” Boone
Guardians: Terry “Let’s make history” Francona

Weather Forecast 

Partly Cloudy, 20 MPH winds, Humidity 51%... Most of the country is descending into gross weather.  Totally bolstering my call for every major American sport to have a dome to pay in.

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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