by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jun 23, 2025
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, June 24, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Where to Watch: YES, FDSOH
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Yankees -164, Reds +134; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Yankees -165, Reds +135; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Yankees -165, Reds +135; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
New York Yankees: 45-32 (1st place, AL East)
Cincinnati Reds: 40-38 (4th place, NL Central)
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Recent Form
New York Yankees: 3-7 last 10
Cincinnati Reds: 5-5 last 10
New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Preview and Analysis
The Yankees are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-32 record overall and have a road record of 21-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .790 OPS. Allan Winans is their starting pitcher on Monday while Carlos Rodón is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 9-5 with a 3.10 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 3 HR, and 1 BB with 7 SO on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Los Angeles Angels.
The Reds are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-38 record overall and have a home record of 20-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Nick Lodolo is their starting pitcher on Monday while Chase Burns is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season and he will be making his first start of the MLB season in this game.
Yankees vs Reds Prediction
The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 45-32 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL East. They have also been a good road team this year with their 21-16 road record. Meanwhile, the Reds have looked good in their games this season with their 40-38 record overall, but that record has them right near the bottom of the NL Central in a competitive division. They have looked better in their own ballpark with their 20-17 home record this season. The Yankees haven't looked good lately as they are 3-7 in their last 10 games, but they just won their last series against the Orioles so they have some momentum now and this is a pitching matchup they can definitely take advantage of. The Yankees are going with Rodon in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 9-5 with a 3.10 ERA and he leads the team in wins this season since he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts. The team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting and he did give up 3 earned runs in his last start too, but he will be looking to bounce back in this one and will pitch better at home. The Reds are going with Burns in this one and he is going to be making his first MLB start of the season. He doesn't have any experience pitching in the MLB and this isn't a great team to go against in his first start when the Yankees have one of the best offenses in the MLB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
Yankees Reds Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 24, 2025 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Reds 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
New York Yankees: 19-17 (-6.8 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 228-185 (-17.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 171-127 (-27.9 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 29-22 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Cincinnati Reds: 197-203 (+8.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 110-128 (+19.1 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 65-56 (+15.6 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 18-8 UNDER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better.
Key Injuries
New York Yankees: R. Yarbrough (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. Y. De Los Santos (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. O. Cabrera (3B) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. M. Stroman (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. L. Gil (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Cincinnati Reds: J. Candelario (3B) Day To Day - Spine. W. Miley (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Flexor. G. Ashcraft (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Groin. H. Greene (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Groin. R. Lowder (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. A. Hays (LF) Ten Day IL - Foot. C. Spiers (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Callihan (LF) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. N. Marte (3B) Ten Day IL - Side. B. Williamson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Aguiar (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“It just embodies who Goldy is. That’s a guy in his late 30s that’s probably going to the Hall of Fame, that is probably going to the All-Star Game this year. The guy is ready to go, pinch-run and do that. That’s freaking humility.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Sunday.
“I was so happy he got through six [innings]. And then he looked in just trying to gauge their [mindset], because you start to know their mannerisms. He came off the field, and you kind of thought, 'OK, you got seven.' And he sure did.” - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
New York Yankees
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Aaron Judge (R) RF
Ben Rice (L) 1B
Cody Bellinger (L) LF
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 3B
DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B
Austin Wells (L) C
Oswald Peraza (R) SS
Cincinnati Reds
TJ Friedl (L) CF
Matt McLain (R) 2B
Elly De La Cruz (S) SS
Tyler Stephenson (R) DH
Gavin Lux (L) 3B
Spencer Steer (R) 1B
Will Benson (L) LF
Jose Trevino (R) C
Jake Fraley (L) RF
Statistical Leaders
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Aaron Judge (.367)
Hits: Aaron Judge (105)
Home Runs: Aaron Judge (27)
RBI: Aaron Judge (61)
Stolen Bases: Jasson Domínguez (10)
Wins: Carlos Rodón (9)
Saves: Devin Williams (10)
ERA: Adam Ottavino (0.00)
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average: Austin Wynns (.400)
Hits: TJ Friedl (82)
Home Runs: Elly De La Cruz (17)
RBI: Elly De La Cruz (52)
Stolen Bases: Elly De La Cruz (21)
Wins: Brady Singer (7)
Saves: Emilio Pagán (18)
ERA: Connor Phillips (0.00)
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)
Cincinnati Reds: Terry Francona (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
