New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/09/2022

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jul 08, 2022
Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 9, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA 
Where to Watch:  FOX

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -165, Red Sox +140; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -160, Red Sox +140; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -165, Red Sox +140; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
 

Season Record

New York Yankees:  60-23 (1st place, AL East)
Boston Red Sox:  45-38 (3rd place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
New York Yankees:  7-3 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  3-7 last 10
 
 
 

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
The Yankees enter this game on a 2 game winning streak. They split their last series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 1-1 in a 2-game series. They enter this game with a 60-23 record overall and have a road record of 26-14. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .765 OPS. Nestor Cortes is their starting pitcher on Friday while Jordan Montgomery is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-2 with a 3.19 ERA this season. His team won 7 of their last 8 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 8 Ks on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Cleveland Guardians. 
 
The Red Sox enter this game on a 3 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 45-38 record overall and have a home record of 21-19. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .737 OPS. Connor Seabold is on the mound on Friday while there is no probable starting pitcher yet throwing the first pitch in this game on Saturday. The Red Sox have been dealing with many injuries to their starters and their bullpen has been stretched so thin that this will either be another bullpen day for them or they will have to make some calls to the minors.

 

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction

The current betting odds have not been listed yet for this game. The Yankees have been on a roll in their recent games and they are back on their win streak here with a series opening win against the Red Sox. The Yankees had some good pitching in that game as well. Cole started to slip up near the 5th inning but their bullpen held the Red Sox scoreless and the Yankees offense still showed up without Rizzo and Judge in the lineup. This offense is one of the best in the MLB and they are a hard team to stop even when they are missing pieces, now they will have some players possibly returning here but they are also dealing with a Red Sox team that is running out of pitching options here. Almost all of the starters for the Red Sox are injured and they have had to make up the difference with rookies in their last few games. They do not have a starter announced here but it is either going to be another inexperienced rookie or a bullpen that has already been getting taxed all week, and either way that is not the situation a team wants to be in when they have the team with the best record in the MLB coming into town. The Red Sox are getting the Yankees at a very bad time for them right now and it will show in each game of this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win.
 
Yankees Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 9, 2022 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Yankees 5 Red Sox 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Yankees: 60-23 (+23.6 Units) ML in all games. 39-15 (+14.8 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 30-21 UNDER against right-handed starters.
Boston Red Sox: 84-73 (-8.1 Units) ML in home games. 68-81 (-18.1 Units) ML against division opponents. 17-9 UNDER against division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Yankees:  A. Rizzo (1B) Ques Fri - Back. D. German (SP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Green (RP) out for season - Elbow.
Boston Red Sox:  E. Hernandez (CF) Mid July - Hip Flexor. N. Eovaldi (SP) Mid July - Back. R. Hill (SP) Late July - Knee.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It's great pitcher against a great hitter. And he's had some success, obviously." - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Red Sox on Thursday.
 
 
"I grabbed him and said, ‘Hey, man, you're a big leaguer.' He had a big smile. He actually thought he was going to have the fifth, but I thought it was enough, 80-something pitches, first big league start, it was a lot of hard work. We'll see what we do next, but just happy that he was able to get out there and enjoy this. Obviously he's disappointed with the results, but at the end of the day, he's a big leaguer, and we're proud of him." - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Rays on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (R) 1B
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Matt Carpenter (L) DH
Giancarlo Stanton (R) LF
Josh Donaldson (R) 3B
Aaron Hicks (S) CF
Jose Trevino (R) C
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS
Joey Gallo (L) RF
 
Boston Red Sox
Jarren Duran (L) CF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Trevor Story (R) 2B
Franchy Cordero (L) 1B
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
Kevin Plawecki (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.333)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (87)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (30)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (64)
Stolen Bases:  Isiah Kiner-Falefa (13)
Wins:  Jameson Taillon (9)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (16)
ERA:  Albert Abreu (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (106)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (19)
RBI:  Trevor Story (54)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (10)
Wins:  Nick Pivetta (8)
Saves:  Tanner Houck (6)
ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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