New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/07/2022

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jul 06, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Thursday, July 7, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA 
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -165, Red Sox +140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -160, Red Sox +140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -160, Red Sox +135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

New York Yankees:  58-23 (1st place, AL East)
Boston Red Sox:  45-36 (2nd place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
New York Yankees:  6-4 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
The Yankees enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They won their last series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 58-23 record overall and have a road record of 24-14. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Thursday with the series finale of their series against the Pittsburgh Pirates still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .752 OPS. Luis Severino is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-2 with a 2.99 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HRs, and 3 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Cleveland Guardians. 
 
The Red Sox were on a 2 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They lost their last series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 45-36 record overall and have a home record of 21-17. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Thursday with the 3rd game of their series against the Tampa Bay Rays still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Brayan Bello is on the mound on Wednesday while Rich Hill will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Thursday. He is 4-4 with a 4.20 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 4 BB with 3 Ks on 3 hits through 4.2 IP against the Chicago Cubs. 

 

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game. Neither of these teams have been playing well recently but the Yankees still have the best record in the MLB right now and will be hungry to bounce back after 2 straight losses. The Red Sox were on a very hot streak in June but they have cooled off now and the injuries on their pitching staff keep piling up as they are very thin in that department now. They have a rookie making his MLB debut on Wednesday and they are starting Hill in this game but even Hill is on the IL and if he cannot make a start here or pitches poorly in this game, the Red Sox will be in trouble with limited options. The Yankees have their ace Cole starting in this game and he has been a solid starter for most of the year. Between the pitching situation for the Red Sox right now and the way the Yankees have been hitting all season, the Yankees will likely score a lot of runs here and win this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
 
Yankees Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 7, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Yankees 5 Red Sox 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Yankees: 58-23 (+21.6 Units) ML in all games. 10-3 (+7 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 30-19 UNDER against right-handed starters.
Boston Red Sox: 84-71 (-5.9 Units) ML in home games. 68-79 (-15.9 Units) ML against division opponents. 16-8 UNDER against division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Yankees:  A. Rizzo (1B) Ques Wed - Back. D. German (SP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Green (RP) out for season - Elbow.
Boston Red Sox:  E. Hernandez (CF) Mid July - Hip Flexor. N. Eovaldi (SP) Mid July - Back. R. Hill (SP) Late July - Knee.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It's a results-oriented league. But at the same time, I feel healthy and I feel like I'm making a lot of quality pitches, but it seems I'm getting burned every outing on just a couple of pitches." - Jameson Taillon after their loss against the Pirates on Tuesday.
 
 
"Just as important as the first 70 or whatever we played. With our ups and downs and, obviously how we struggled early in the season, if you look at the standings, we are where we're at." - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Rays on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (R) 1B
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) RF
Josh Donaldson (R) 3B
Matt Carpenter (L) DH
Aaron Hicks (S) LF
Jose Trevino (R) C
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS
 
Boston Red Sox
Jarren Duran (L) CF
Rob Refsnyder (R) LF
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Trevor Story (R) 2B
Franchy Cordero (L) RF
Christian Arroyo (R) 3B
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.333)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (84)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (29)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (60)
Stolen Bases:  Isiah Kiner-Falefa (12)
Wins:  Jameson Taillon (9)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (15)
ERA:  Albert Abreu (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (104)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (17)
RBI:  Trevor Story (54)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (10)
Wins:  Nick Pivetta (8)
Saves:  Tanner Houck (6)
ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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