New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/17/2023

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, June 17, 2023

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +105, Red Sox -125; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +100, Red Sox -120; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +105, Red Sox -125; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

New York Yankees:  39-30 (3rd place, AL East)

Boston Red Sox:  34-35 (5th place, AL East)

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New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10

The Yankees are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and split their 2-game series against the New York Mets 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-30 record overall and have a road record of 18-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .716 OPS. Domingo Germán is their starting pitcher on Friday while Clarke Schmidt is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-6 with a 4.70 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 5.1 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Red Sox are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-35 record overall and have a home record of 18-18. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .755 OPS. Tanner Houck is their starting pitcher on Friday while Brayan Bello is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-4 with a 3.78 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 3 hits through 7 innings played against the New York Yankees.

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox haven't been having a good season at all as they find themselves in last place of the AL East and now they have slipped under .500 with their overall record too. They haven't been great in their games lately while the Yankees have been a lot better but the Red Sox always get up to play against this specific division rival and they are going to take this series very seriously as they will use it to get a spark moving forward. Bello is starting for the Red Sox here and he has been good in his starts lately as he has been giving up less and less runs now. He has also been pitching well against division opponents and will be looking to pitch his best against the Yankees here. The Yankees are going with Schmidt on the mound and he has also been pitching a lot better lately but he did have a rougher start to the season and still has plenty of potential to implode on the mound despite pitching well lately. The Red Sox have also had a much better offense than the Yankees have had all season so if the Yankees can't rely on their starter here it will be a really tough night for them with the Red Sox scoring a lot of runs in their home games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.

Yankees Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 17, 2023 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 8 Yankees 5.

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New York Yankees: 33-25 (+7 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 18-13 (+7.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 27-18 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. 25-16 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150.

Boston Red Sox: 4-7 (-6.2 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 21-28 (-8.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. BRAYAN BELLO is 8-3 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125 and 10-4 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10.

New York Yankees:  H. Bader (CF) Prob Fri - Hamstring. I. Hamilton (RP) Late June - Groin. G. Allen (CF) Early Aug - Hip. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Judge (RF) Out indefinitely - Toe. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. C. Rodon (SP) Late June - Elbow. F. Montas (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Boston Red Sox:  W. Mills (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. J. Rodriguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Story (2B) Late July - Elbow. R. Bleier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Schreiber (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“He didn't acknowledge me. The third baseman didn't acknowledge me. I just couldn't believe I did that in the big leagues.” - Isiah Kiner-Falefa on stealing a base in their loss against the Mets on Wednesday night.

“Early in the season we didn't pitch. We were hitting. But, obviously, over 62 (games) if you pitch, you're going to have a chance.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Wednesday.

Jake Bauers (L) RF

Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH

Josh Donaldson (R) 3B

Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B

DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B

Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) CF

Billy McKinney (L) LF

Jose Trevino (R) C

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Rob Refsnyder (R) LF

Justin Turner (R) 3B

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

Adam Duvall (R) DH

Christian Arroyo (R) 2B

Enrique Hernandez (R) CF

Triston Casas (L) 1B

Connor Wong (R) C

Pablo Reyes (R) SS

Batting Average:  Billy McKinney (.320)

Hits:  Anthony Rizzo (64)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (19)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (40)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (14)

Wins:  Gerrit Cole (7)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (8)

ERA:  Tommy Kahnle (0.00)

Batting Average:  Adam Duvall (.333)

Hits:  Alex Verdugo (75)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (17)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (56)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (10)

Wins:  Chris Sale (5)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (14)

ERA:  Chris Murphy (0.00)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)