by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Jun 15, 2023
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, June 16, 2023
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Yankees -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Yankees -105, Red Sox -115; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Yankees -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Season Record
New York Yankees: 39-30 (3rd place, AL East)
Boston Red Sox: 34-35 (5th place, AL East)
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Recent Form
New York Yankees: 5-5 last 10
Boston Red Sox: 4-6 last 10
New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis
The Yankees are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and split their 2-game series against the New York Mets 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-30 record overall and have a road record of 18-13. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .716 OPS. Gerrit Cole was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Domingo Germán is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-3 with a 3.49 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Boston Red Sox.
The Red Sox are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-35 record overall and have a home record of 18-18. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Garrett Whitlock was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Tanner Houck is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-6 with a 5.23 ERA this season. His team lost their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings played against the New York Yankees.
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction
The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have been playing well lately as they try to chase down the Orioles and the Rays in the AL East. Their offense hasn't been great this season but their pitching has been really good and they are going to come with some extra motivation here after losing their last series against the Red Sox not long ago. German is on the mound for the Yankees here and he has been really good in his starts lately. He is coming off a great start in his last one which also happened to be against the Red Sox as he pitched very well against them just over a week ago. Houck is up for the Red Sox here and he hasn't been bad this season but he has been giving up more runs in his starts than German has been giving up and that will be troublesome since the Red Sox don't have a great bullpen either but the Yankees have one of the best in the league. The Yankees will be coming for their revenge here and German will lead them to a win in this game with another great outing against the Red Sox. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
Yankees Red Sox Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 16, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Red Sox 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
New York Yankees: 10-2 (+9 units) on the moneyline after a one run loss. 18-13 (+7.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 15-7 UNDER after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span. 12-4 UNDER revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite.
Boston Red Sox: 4-10 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent. 21-28 (-8.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. TANNER HOUCK is 20-9 UNDER in all games and 10-3 UNDER against division opponents.
Key Injuries
New York Yankees: H. Bader (CF) Prob Fri - Hamstring. I. Hamilton (RP) Late June - Groin. G. Allen (CF) Early Aug - Hip. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Judge (RF) Out indefinitely - Toe. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. C. Rodon (SP) Late June - Elbow. F. Montas (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.
Boston Red Sox: W. Mills (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. J. Rodriguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Story (2B) Late July - Elbow. R. Bleier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Schreiber (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“He didn't acknowledge me. The third baseman didn't acknowledge me. I just couldn't believe I did that in the big leagues.” - Isiah Kiner-Falefa on stealing a base in their loss against the Mets on Wednesday night.
“Early in the season we didn't pitch. We were hitting. But, obviously, over 62 (games) if you pitch, you're going to have a chance.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
New York Yankees
Jake Bauers (L) RF
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Josh Donaldson (R) 3B
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) CF
Billy McKinney (L) LF
Jose Trevino (R) C
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Boston Red Sox
Rob Refsnyder (R) LF
Justin Turner (R) 3B
Alex Verdugo (L) RF
Adam Duvall (R) DH
Christian Arroyo (R) 2B
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Triston Casas (L) 1B
Connor Wong (R) C
Pablo Reyes (R) SS
Statistical Leaders
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Billy McKinney (.320)
Hits: Anthony Rizzo (64)
Home Runs: Aaron Judge (19)
RBI: Aaron Judge (40)
Stolen Bases: Anthony Volpe (14)
Wins: Gerrit Cole (7)
Saves: Clay Holmes (8)
ERA: Tommy Kahnle (0.00)
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average: Adam Duvall (.333)
Hits: Alex Verdugo (75)
Home Runs: Rafael Devers (17)
RBI: Rafael Devers (56)
Stolen Bases: Jarren Duran (10)
Wins: Chris Sale (5)
Saves: Kenley Jansen (14)
ERA: Chris Murphy (0.00)
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
