New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/20/2026

Game Time: 6:35 pm ET, Thursday, August 20, 2026

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD 

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -121, Orioles +101; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -120, Orioles +100; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -120, Orioles +100; Over/Under:  8 runs

New York Yankees:  70-55 (2nd place, AL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  61-65 (5th place, AL East)

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New York Yankees:  6-4 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 70-55 record overall and have a road record of 39-28. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Yankees won the series opener on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .715 OPS. Will Warren is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 6-6 with a 3.22 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 SO on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and won their 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-65 record overall and have a home record of 32-31. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Orioles lost the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .718 OPS. Chris Bassitt is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Kyle Bradish is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-11 with a 3.65 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 walks with 4 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 70-55 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have been a good road team too with their 39-28 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Orioles haven't looked great in their games this season with their 61-65 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AL East. They have looked better in their own ballpark though with their 32-31 home record this season. The Orioles just won their last series over the Rays and have been keeping themselves in the Wild Card race, but they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and they haven't looked that great lately. The Yankees haven't been at their best lately either, but they are 6-4 in their last 10 games and still trying to chase down the Rays in 1st place. The Yankees are going with Cole in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 6-6 with a 3.22 ERA and he has looked a lot better in his starts lately. He is coming off another great start giving up 1 earned run which has been a common theme for him lately and the team has been having more success with him too, winning 3 of their last 4 games with him starting. The Orioles are going with Bradish in this one and he hasn't looked bad this season. He is 7-11 with a 3.65 ERA, but the team has been having more trouble with him lately. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but the team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting and the Orioles haven't really had a great bullpen this season either. The Yankees are going to have a big edge with their pitching in this one, especially their bullpen, so look for the Yankees to roll here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Yankees Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, August 20, 2026 (6:35 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Orioles 1.

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New York Yankees: 136-101 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 74-54 (+6 units) on the moneyline on the road with a money line of -100 to -150. 157-98 (+11.1 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage of .410 or worse on the season. 40-25 UNDER in road games.

Baltimore Orioles: 227-225 (-21.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 115-111 (-28.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 165-157 (-13.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 61-39 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game.

New York Yankees:  M. Fried (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. K. Castro (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. C. Bellinger (LF) Ten Day IL - Leg. A. Judge (RF) Sixty Day IL - Rib. G. Stanton (DH) Ten Day IL - Leg. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  R. Mountcastle (1B) Sixty Day IL - Foot. S. Basallo (C) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. B. Alexander (3B) Ten Day IL - Hand. K. Akin (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Helsley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. Z. Eflin (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Westburg (3B) Sixty Day IL - UCL. F. Bautista (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Selby (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

“He’s really kind of got locked back in to where I feel like he’s having those good Grish at-bats every day. He’s been dialed in pretty good, and obviously he’s hitting for some power now over the last several as well. A big night for him.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Tuesday.

“Baz was outstanding. Just that one mistake, the changeup that came back in to Grisham. Outside of that, he was outstanding. It was good to see him back out there pounding the strike zone with really good stuff.” - Craig Albernaz after his team’s loss against the Yankees in their game on Tuesday. 

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Ben Rice (L) DH

Heliot Ramos (R) LF

Luis García Jr. (L) 1B

Spencer Jones (L) RF

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B

George Lombard Jr. (R) SS

Ryan McMahon (L) 3B

Austin Wells (L) C

Jackson Holliday (L) 2B

Pete Alonso (R) DH

Tyler O'Neill (R) RF

Coby Mayo (R) 1B

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) 3B

Leody Taveras (S) CF

Christian Franklin (R) LF

Carlos Narváez (R) C

Batting Average:  George Lombard (.293)

Hits:  Ben Rice (111)

Home Runs:  Ben Rice (33)

RBI:  Ben Rice (78)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (32)

Wins:  Cam Schlittler (10)

Saves:  David Bednar (28)

ERA:  Yerry De los Santos (0.64)

Batting Average:  Blaze Alexander (.312)

Hits:  Pete Alonso (126)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (28)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (81)

Stolen Bases:  Leody Taveras (10)

Wins:  Brandon Young (9)

Saves:  Ryan Helsley (8)

ERA:  Jose Espada (0.00)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (9th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Craig Albernaz (1st season)