New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/19/2026

Game Time: 6:35 pm ET, Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD 

Where to Watch:  MLB TV, Prime Video, MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -121, Orioles +101; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -120, Orioles +100; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -120, Orioles +100; Over/Under:  9 runs

New York Yankees:  69-55 (2nd place, AL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  61-64 (4th place, AL East)

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New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 69-55 record overall and have a road record of 38-28. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .716 OPS. Carlos Rodón is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Will Warren is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-6 with a 4.42 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 5 ER, 3 HR, and 4 BB with 3 SO on 6 hits through 4 IP against the Seattle Mariners.

The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and won their 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-64 record overall and have a home record of 32-30. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .720 OPS. Shane Baz is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Chris Bassitt is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-4 with a 5.11 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 walks with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5.1 innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 69-55 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have been a good road team too with their 38-28 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Orioles haven't looked great in their games this season with their 61-64 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AL East. They have looked better in their own ballpark though with their 32-30 home record this season. The Orioles have been playing themselves back into the Wild Card race lately, but they are still only 5-5 in their last 10 games and haven't really taken off. The Yankees are also 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they have been a steady team in the league all season and will be looking to bounce back from a series loss to the Blue Jays. The Yankees are going with Warren in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 8-6 with a 4.42 ERA, but the team has been having a lot of success with him. He did give up 5 earned runs in his last start, but the team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting and that has been a common theme for him all year. The Orioles are going with Bassitt in this one and he hasn't looked great this season either. He is 4-4 with a 5.11 ERA and he has been giving up a lot of runs this year. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him and the team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting too. The Yankees have had a lot of success with Warren this year, even when his starts have been bad, and the Yankees do have the stronger bullpen to lean on late. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Yankees Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 19, 2026 (6:35 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Orioles 3.

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New York Yankees: 135-101 (+8.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 156-98 (+10.1 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage of .410 or worse on the season. 40-23 (+8.7 units) on the moneyline vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start. 39-25 UNDER in road games.

Baltimore Orioles: 227-224 (-20.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 115-110 (-27.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 165-157 (-13.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 60-39 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game.

New York Yankees:  M. Fried (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. K. Castro (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. C. Bellinger (LF) Ten Day IL - Leg. A. Judge (RF) Sixty Day IL - Rib. C. Rodon (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. G. Stanton (DH) Ten Day IL - Leg. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  R. Mountcastle (1B) Sixty Day IL - Foot. S. Basallo (C) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. B. Alexander (3B) Ten Day IL - Hand. K. Akin (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Helsley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. Z. Eflin (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Westburg (3B) Sixty Day IL - UCL. F. Bautista (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Selby (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

“Obviously, no one’s feeling worse at that point than Benny. And to come up there and essentially win the game for us in the 10th was massive. Credit to him, that’s this game. That’s being a big leaguer.” - Aaron Boone on Ben Rice after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday. 

“It was a really good series for us. We would've liked to win this one, but overall, it was a really good series.” - Craig Albernaz after his team’s loss against the Rays in their game on Monday. 

Ben Rice (L) 1B

Luis García Jr. (L) DH

Heliot Ramos (R) LF

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Spencer Jones (L) RF

George Lombard Jr. (R) SS

Ryan McMahon (L) 3B

Austin Wells (L) C

José Caballero (R) 2B

Tyler O'Neill (R) RF

Pete Alonso (R) DH

Jackson Holliday (L) 2B

Coby Mayo (R) 1B

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) 3B

Jeremiah Jackson (R) LF

Carlos Narváez (R) C

Christian Franklin (R) CF

Batting Average:  George Lombard (.270)

Hits:  Ben Rice (111)

Home Runs:  Ben Rice (33)

RBI:  Ben Rice (78)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (32)

Wins:  Cam Schlittler (10)

Saves:  David Bednar (27)

ERA:  Yerry De los Santos (0.75)

Batting Average:  Blaze Alexander (.312)

Hits:  Pete Alonso (125)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (28)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (81)

Stolen Bases:  Leody Taveras (10)

Wins:  Brandon Young (9)

Saves:  Ryan Helsley (8)

ERA:  Jose Espada (0.00)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (9th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Craig Albernaz (1st season)