New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/29/2023

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 29, 2023

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +120, Orioles -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +120, Orioles -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +120, Orioles -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

New York Yankees:  54-48 (5th place, AL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  62-40 (1st place, AL East)

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New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and split their 2-game series against the New York Mets 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-48 record overall and have a road record of 22-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .706 OPS. Gerrit Cole is their starting pitcher on Friday while Clarke Schmidt is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-6 with a 4.33 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 5 hits through 5.2 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Orioles are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 62-40 record overall and have a home record of 30-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. Rookie pitcher Grayson Rodriguez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tyler Wells is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-5 with a 3.65 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 5 strikeouts on 1 hit through 4.1 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been rolling all season with a really good offense and they have managed to stay hot coming out of the All-Star break as the Rays are slipping down the standings now, putting the Orioles in 1st place. The Orioles will be looking to hang onto that lead here and the Yankees are a team that they have had a lot of success against lately, even when they were really bad. The Yankees haven't had a great offense this season either, their pitching has been good but they will struggle to compete with the Orioles offense here on the road, especially when Schmidt has been giving up quite a few runs in his starts lately. The Orioles will take advantage of that and they have also been a money machine this season when priced from -100 to -150. They also have Wells on the mound here who has been pitching a lot better in his starts lately and has also been one of the Orioles more reliable and consistent starters all year. The Orioles are going to keep rolling in this game with their hot offense while the Yankees struggling offense won't be able to compete and the Orioles will use this series to try and spread the gap even more with their lead in the AL East. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Yankees Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 29, 2023 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Orioles 6 Yankees 2.

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New York Yankees: 23-26 (-7.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 6-12 (-4.5 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 22-10 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175. CLARKE SCHMIDT is 16-8 UNDER in all games.

Baltimore Orioles: 62-40 (+25.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 23-10 (+10.5 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 18-10 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5. 30-17 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175.

New York Yankees:  A. Judge (RF) Prob Fri - Toe. F. Montas (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. L. Gil (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. W. Calhoun (DH) Early Aug - Quadricep. J. Trevino (C) out for season - Wrist. J. Donaldson (3B) out for season - Calf. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. J. Cordero (RP) out for season - Suspension. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  G. Henderson (3B) Ques Fri - Back. C. Mullins (CF) Early Aug - Groin. A. Hicks (CF) Early Aug - Hamstring. A. Voth (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Early Aug - Back. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

“A really big outing for him and us. It’s not been an easy road here since spring training and trying to get back. I think that’s hurt because he wants to be out there. He knows he was brought here to be a big, big part of this team and it took longer for him to get back than he would have liked and I think that ate at him a lot. But he’s here now and hopefully he continues to build momentum off this one.”- Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Wednesday.

“That’s kind of been a big bugaboo for our pitching staff this year – executing 0-2. Up and away, and Sosa put a good swing on it.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Wednesday.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) LF

Gleyber Torres (R) DH

Giancarlo Stanton (R) RF

Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B

DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B

Harrison Bader (R) CF

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Oswald Peraza (R) 2B

Austin Hays (R) LF

Adley Rutschman (S) DH

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

James McCann (R) C

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Ryan McKenna (R) CF

Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.291)

Hits:  Gleyber Torres (100)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (19)

RBI:  Gleyber Torres (43)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (18)

Wins:  Gerrit Cole (9)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (14)

ERA:  Randy Vasquez (1.17)

Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.308)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (99)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (17)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (55)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (23)

Wins:  Dean Kremer (10)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (28)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)