New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/28/2023

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, July 28, 2023

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MASN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -125, Orioles +105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -125, Orioles +105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -125, Orioles +105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

New York Yankees:  54-48 (5th place, AL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  62-40 (1st place, AL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB: 87-69 ($8.9K) this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and split their 2-game series against the New York Mets 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-48 record overall and have a road record of 22-24. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .706 OPS. Carlos Rodón was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 9-2 with a 2.78 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 10 Ks on 5 hits through 6.1 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Orioles are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 62-40 record overall and have a home record of 30-20. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. Kyle Bradish was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while rookie pitcher Grayson Rodriguez is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-2 with a 6.91 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees are above .500 this season but they are right at the bottom of their division while the Orioles have been rolling in their games , leading the AL East now. The Orioles have a really good offense and have been putting up a lot of runs in their wins but their pitching hasn't been great as they still do give up a lot of runs and the Yankees can take advantage of that here as they have the better pitching matchup and the better bullpen. The Yankees are going with Cole in this game and he has been really good all season, not giving up many runs in his starts. He will continue pitching well here as he has been their ace all year and the Yankees offense will also have an easier time putting up runs themselves with Rodriguez on the mound for the Orioles. Rodriguez is still in his rookie season but he hasn't been great this year as he gives up a ton of runs in his starts and has been giving up a lot lately too. The Yankees will get to him for some runs here while their pitching staff carries the load in this game and they will be able to edge out the Orioles. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Yankees Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 28, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 5 Orioles 1.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

New York Yankees: 15-26 (-11.7 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 1-6 (-5.9 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss where the opponent scored 10 or more runs. 28-18 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5. 14-5 UNDER revenging a loss where the opponent scored 10 or more runs.

Baltimore Orioles: 62-40 (+25.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 23-10 (+10.5 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 18-10 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5. 7-3 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses.

New York Yankees:  A. Judge (RF) Prob Fri - Toe. F. Montas (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. L. Gil (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. W. Calhoun (DH) Early Aug - Quadricep. J. Trevino (C) out for season - Wrist. J. Donaldson (3B) out for season - Calf. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. J. Cordero (RP) out for season - Suspension. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  G. Henderson (3B) Ques Fri - Back. C. Mullins (CF) Early Aug - Groin. A. Hicks (CF) Early Aug - Hamstring. A. Voth (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

“A really big outing for him and us. It’s not been an easy road here since spring training and trying to get back. I think that’s hurt because he wants to be out there. He knows he was brought here to be a big, big part of this team and it took longer for him to get back than he would have liked and I think that ate at him a lot. But he’s here now and hopefully he continues to build momentum off this one.”- Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Wednesday.

“That’s kind of been a big bugaboo for our pitching staff this year – executing 0-2. Up and away, and Sosa put a good swing on it.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Wednesday.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) LF

Gleyber Torres (R) DH

Giancarlo Stanton (R) RF

Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B

DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B

Harrison Bader (R) CF

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Oswald Peraza (R) 2B

Austin Hays (R) LF

Adley Rutschman (S) DH

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

James McCann (R) C

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Ryan McKenna (R) CF

Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.291)

Hits:  Gleyber Torres (100)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (19)

RBI:  Gleyber Torres (43)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (18)

Wins:  Gerrit Cole (9)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (14)

ERA:  Randy Vasquez (1.17)

Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.308)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (99)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (17)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (55)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (23)

Wins:  Dean Kremer (10)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (28)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)