New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/24/2022

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Jul 23, 2022
Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, July 24, 2022
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MASN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -200, Orioles +170; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -200, Orioles +170; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -200, Orioles +170; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
 

Season Record

New York Yankees:  65-30 (1st place, AL East)
Baltimore Orioles:  46-47 (5th place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
New York Yankees:  4-6 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis

 
The Yankees were on a 2 game losing streak but now enter this game off of a win. They lost their last series against the Houston Astros getting swept 2-0 in a 2-game series. They enter this game with a 65-30 record overall and have a road record of 28-18. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .776 OPS. Gerrit Cole is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Nestor Cortes is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-3 with a 2.63 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Cincinnati Reds. 
 
The Orioles enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 46-47 record overall and have a home record of 25-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .688 OPS. Jordan Lyles is on the mound on Saturday while Dean Kremer will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Sunday. He is 3-1 with a 2.59 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 2 Ks on 8 hits through 4 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

 

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a big underdog in this game. The Orioles have really picked up their play in recent weeks. They have been winning a lot of their games and have now put themselves in a position where they are right around .500. Their offense has been playing very well recently as they are scoring a lot of runs and they picked up right where they left off before the All-Star break, still scoring 6 runs in their close loss to the Yankees on Friday. The Yankees have not been playing very well over the last week, their bullpen has been slipping up and they have been starting to lose a lot more games than they were for most of the season. They also struggled heavily against the Orioles last season when they were really bad, now the Orioles are a lot better but the Yankees are not blowing them out in games. The Orioles also play their best at home this season and they have been great against lefties all season as they are going to face one here in Cortes. Kremer has only made a few starts this season due to injury but he has been very good in his few starts and he will not let this game get out of hand. This is a game that the Orioles could upset and win in, but the best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles on the runline as they have lost a lot of games this season to the Yankees by just 1 run.
 
Yankees Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 24, 2022 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Orioles 5 Yankees 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Yankees: 65-30 (+17.6 Units) ML in all games. 61-27 (+15.4 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. NESTOR CORTES is 18-12 UNDER in all games.
Baltimore Orioles: 123-192 (-7.7 Units) ML in all games. 50-104 (-15.9 Units) ML against division opponents. 19-12 UNDER against left-handed starters.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Yankees:  C. Green (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. King (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Severino (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Baltimore Orioles:  A. Wells (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. T. Lakins Sr. (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) Late July - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Obviously, it was a tough night for him. I think he kind of ran out steam there in the end." - Aaron Boone on Chapman after his team’s win against the Orioles on Friday. 
 
 
"It doesn't help when you throw it down the middle to him. The first home run I gave to him, I was trying to go up there, and just didn't get it in enough. The second one, he just took a pitch right down the middle and he hit a long way." - Tyler Wells after their loss against the Yankees on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Josh Donaldson (R) 3B
Jose Trevino (R) C
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS
Tim Locastro (R) RF
Joey Gallo (L) LF
 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Trey Mancini (R) DH
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Austin Hays (R) LF
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.333)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (99)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (36)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (77)
Stolen Bases:  Isiah Kiner-Falefa (13)
Wins:  Jameson Taillon (10)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (17)
ERA:  David McKay (0.00)
 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Trey Mancini (.274)
Hits:  Cedric Mullins (95)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (16)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (49)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (22)
Wins:  Tyler Wells (7)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (17)
ERA:  Cionel Perez (1.45)
 
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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