New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/19/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Wednesday, May 18, 2022
Game Time: 12:35 pm ET, Thursday, May 19, 2022
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MASN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -200, Orioles +170; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -200, Orioles +170; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -200, Orioles +170; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

New York Yankees:  27-9 (1st place, AL East)
Baltimore Orioles:  14-23 (5th place, AL East)
 
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New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Yankees:  8-2 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

New York Yankees Analysis

The Yankees are coming into this game with a 27-9 record overall and they are 13-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 8 of their last 9 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak. They just won their 4-game series against the Chicago White Sox 3-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Thursday. This will be the 4th game of the series on Thursday with the 3rd game still to be played on Wednesday. Gerrit Cole is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Jordan Montgomery is on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 0-1 with a 3.06 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits in 4.1 IP against the Chicago White Sox. They scored 32 runs in their last series averaging 8 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 15 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Orioles are coming into this game with a 14-23 record overall and they are 9-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 5 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers getting swept 3-0 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Thursday night. This will be the 4th game of the series on Thursday with the 3rd game still to be played on Wednesday. Jordan Lyles is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Bruce Zimmermann will be on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 2-2 with a 2.72 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 2 strikeouts on 7 hits in 6 innings played against the Detroit Tigers. They scored 3 runs in their last series averaging 1 run scored per game in that span and they allowed 12 runs against them averaging 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction

The Yankees are coming into this game as a big favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well recently as they continue on their win streak here and have been smashing the teams they are playing. They just had a closer win by 1 run against the Orioles but the Orioles have not been playing well recently and have really started to cool off after a somewhat hot start to their season. The Yankees just keep hitting the ball very well in every game they play and they can always score runs when they need to. Both of these pitchers have been good this season so this is going to come down to the batters and the Yankees just have a much stronger lineup that has been hitting much better recently. This is a series that the Yankees need to sweep in order to stay ahead of this division as the rest of the teams usually feed off of the Orioles as well. The Yankees are a much better team this season than last season and they will have no trouble winning this game. The best bet here is on the Yankees to win this game on the runline.
 
Yankees Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, May 19, 2022 (12:35 pm ET start time) is Yankees 7 Orioles 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Yankees: 29-18 (+7.2 Units) ML on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 20-13 UNDER as a favorite of -110 or higher. 20-15 UNDER in all games.
Baltimore Orioles: 91-168 (-26.7 Units) ML in all games. 49-80 (-11.3 Units) ML in home games. 13-4 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Yankees:  B. Rortvedt (C) Late May - Oblique. T. Locastro (CF) Out indefinitely - Back. Z. Britton (RP) Early Sept - Elbow.
Baltimore Orioles:  J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Mountcastle (1B) Prob Sat - Wrist. C. Ellis (SP) out for season - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"He's been one of the best relievers in the league, especially considering the amount of innings we've been able to get from him. Really impact innings." - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Orioles on Tuesday.
 
 
"Maybe he was overamped early. I didn't think his command was as good as it had been." - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Yankees on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) RF
Josh Donaldson (R) DH
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Joey Gallo (L) LF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS
Kyle Higashioka (R) C
 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Austin Hays (R) LF
Anthony Santander (S) DH
Trey Mancini (R) 1B
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Ramon Urias (R) SS
Tyler Nevin (R) 3B
Anthony Bemboom (L) C
Ryan McKenna (R) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Miguel Andujar (.400)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (41)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (14)
RBI:  Giancarlo Stanton (32)
Stolen Bases:  Aaron Hicks (5)
Wins:  Clay Holmes (4)
Saves:  Aroldis Chapman (9)
ERA:  JP Sears (0.00)
 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Trey Mancini (.289)
Hits:  Cedric Mullins (38)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (6)
RBI:  Ryan Mountcastle (16)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (10)
Wins:  Jorge Lopez (3)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (4)
ERA:  Denyi Reyes (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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