New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/17/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, May 16, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, May 17, 2022
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MASN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -195, Orioles +165; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -195, Orioles +165; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -195, Orioles +165; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

New York Yankees:  25-9 (1st place, AL East)
Baltimore Orioles:  14-21 (4th place, AL East)
 
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New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Yankees:  7-3 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

New York Yankees Analysis

The Yankees are coming into this game with a 25-9 record overall and they are 11-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 4-game series against the Chicago White Sox 3-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Luis Severino is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while Jameson Taillon is on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits in 5.1 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays. They scored 32 runs in their last series averaging 8 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 15 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Orioles are coming into this game with a 14-21 record overall and they are 9-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers getting swept 3-0 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Rookie pitcher Kyle Bradish is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while Spenser Watkins will be on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 7 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 8 hits in 3.2 innings played against the St. Louis Cardinals. They scored 3 runs in their last series averaging 1 run scored per game in that span and they allowed 12 runs against them averaging 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction

The Yankees are coming into this game as a big favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well this season and currently hold the best record in the MLB. They have gone on some long win streaks recently and are coming off of another series win in a 4-game series against the White Sox where they found themselves as dogs a few times and still put up the runs to win those games. They are going up against an Orioles team that has been playing very well this season for their standard but they have not been playing as well as the Yankees have been and this is a series that the Yankees should have no problem sweeping. They have been on a roll with their hitting and their pitching has been great when they needed it to be as well. The best bet here is on the Yankees on the runline here.
 
Yankees Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, May 17, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 7 Orioles 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Yankees: 154-110 (-9.8 Units) ML in all games. 71-59 (-10 Units) ML in road games. 10-4 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher.
Baltimore Orioles: 13-14 (+11.9 Units) ML as a home underdog of +175 or more. 24-10 UNDER in all games. 13-3 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Yankees:  B. Rortvedt (C) Late May - Oblique. T. Locastro (CF) Out indefinitely - Back. Z. Britton (RP) Early Sept - Elbow.
Baltimore Orioles:  A. Hays (CF) Ques Sun - Hand. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. C. Ellis (SP) out for season - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"That was another special outing. I mean, just in complete control." - Aaron Boone on Cortes after his team’s win against the White Sox on Sunday.
 
 
"I thought Skubal was really good. We've seen him before and pitched well against us last year as well. We had a tough time making contact against him." - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Tigers on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (D) 2B
Aaron Judge (D) RF
Anthony Rizzo (Z) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (D) DH
Josh Donaldson (D) 3B
Joey Gallo (Z) LF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (D) SS
Jose Trevino (D) C
Aaron Hicks (A) CF
 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (Z) CF
Ramon Urias (D) 2B
Trey Mancini (D) 1B
Anthony Santander (A) RF
Jorge Mateo (D) SS
Tyler Nevin (D) 3B
Ryan McKenna (D) LF
Robinson Chirinos (D) C
Rylan Bannon (D) DH
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Miguel Andujar (.400)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (37)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (12)
RBI:  Giancarlo Stanton (31)
Stolen Bases:  Aaron Hicks (5)
Wins:  Clay Holmes (4)
Saves:  Aroldis Chapman (8)
ERA:  JP Sears (0.00)
 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.291)
Hits:  Cedric Mullins (37)
Home Runs:  Cedric Mullins (5)
RBI:  Ryan Mountcastle (16)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (10)
Wins:  Jorge Lopez (3)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (4)
ERA:  Denyi Reyes (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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