New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/02/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Mar 01, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 2, 2024
Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Rangers +100, Leafs -120; Over/Under:  6 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Rangers +100, Leafs -120; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Rangers +100, Leafs -120; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

New York Rangers:  40-17-3 (1st place, Metropolitan Division)
Toronto Maple Leafs:  34-17-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
New York Rangers:  9-1-0 last 10
Toronto Maple Leafs:  8-2-0 last 10



New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Preview and Analysis


The Rangers are entering this game with 83 points, a 40-17-3 record overall, and they are 19-10-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Columbus Blue Jackets in their last game, winning that one at home 4-1. Artemi Panarin led the team in goals scored with 2 while Chris Kreider and Adam Fox each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Artemi Panarin, Chris Kreider, K'Andre Miller, Vincent Trocheck, Jacob Trouba, and Jimmy Vesey each led the team in assists with 1 while Artemi Panarin led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Igor Shesterkin was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 31 shots with 30 saves and a .968 save percentage. Their offense has scored 201 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 164 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.


The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 76 points, a 34-17-8 record overall, and they are 16-11-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Arizona Coyotes in their last game, winning that one at home 4-2. William Nylander, Matthew Knies, Tyler Bertuzzi, and Auston Matthews each scored 1 goal for them in that game. William Nylander led the team in assists with 2 while Bobby McMann led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Joseph Woll was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 32 shots with 30 saves and a .938 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 220 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 187 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.


Rangers vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rangers have looked really good in their games this season with their 40-17-3 record overall which leads their division in the East right now with one of the best records in the entire NHL too. They have also looked good in their road games with their 19-10-3 road record. Meanwhile, the Leafs have also looked good in their games this season with their 34-17-8 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and fighting to keep their playoff spot. They have been really hot in their games lately with their 8-2-0 record in their last 10 games and they are also coming off a win on home ice in their last game, but the Leafs haven't looked great on their home ice this season. The Leafs have a 16-11-2 home record this season which isn't that good and they have been a much better road team this season too. The Rangers haven't struggled that much in their road games this season which gives them the advantage here and they have also been the hotter team coming into this one with their 9-1-0 record in their last 10 games. The Rangers are also coming off a win in their last one so they have some momentum coming into this game and they have the advantage considering the Leafs have struggled a lot more on home ice this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game. 

Rangers Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, March 2, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Rangers 3 Leafs 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


New York Rangers: 150-98 (+17.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 32-19 (+9.4 units) on the moneyline off a win against a division rival. 90-59 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 5-1 OVER after 5 or more consecutive unders. 6-3 OVER off a home win scoring 4 or more goals. 11-6 OVER off a home win.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 146-94 (-20.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 53-34 (-12.4 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent. 41-34 (-22.7 units) on the moneyline off a home win. 8-3 OVER revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more. 10-3 OVER off a home win. 33-17 OVER off a home win scoring 4 or more goals.

Key Injuries


New York Rangers:  B. Wheeler (RW) out for season - Lower Body. F. Chytil (C) out for season - Upper Body.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  M. Giordano (D) Ques Sat - Head. T. Liljegren (D) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Jarnkrok (C) Early March - Hand. C. Timmins (D) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.


Notable Quotes


“It’s a great job by the guys. We still have work to do. You get to the last quarter before the playoffs and you have to play some hockey that’s good hockey. I think our guys have done that.” - Peter Laviolette after his team’s win against the Blue Jackets in their game on Wednesday.


“We needed him. Good that Mitch was able to chip in.” - Sheldon Keefe after his team’s win against the Coyotes in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


New York Rangers
LW Panarin, Artemi
C Trocheck, Vincent
RW Lafrenière, Alexis
LD Lindgren, Ryan
RD Fox, Adam
G Shesterkin, Igor

Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Knies, Matthew
C Matthews, Auston
RW Marner, Mitchell
LD Brodie, TJ
RD Rielly, Morgan
G Woll, Joseph

Statistical Leaders


New York Rangers
Points: A. Panarin (82)
Goals: A. Panarin (35)
Assists: A. Panarin (47)
GAA: J. Quick (2.45)

Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: W. Nylander (82)
Goals: A. Matthews (53)
Assists: W. Nylander (50)
GAA: M. Jones (2.71)

Coaches:
New York Rangers: Peter Laviolette (1st season)
Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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