by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Monday, Jun 06, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, June 7, 2022
Venue: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline: Rangers +150, Lightning -170; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
Bet365: Moneyline: Rangers +150, Lightning -170; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
BetMGM: Moneyline: Rangers +145, Lightning -175; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
Season Record
New York Rangers: 52-24-6 (2nd place, Metropolitan Division)
Tampa Bay Lightning: 51-23-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
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New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
New York Rangers: 6-3-1 last 10
Tampa Bay Lightning: 7-3-0 last 10
New York Rangers Analysis
The Rangers are coming into this game finishing the regular season with 110 points, a 52-24-6 record overall, and they are 25-14-2 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 4 game winning streak that they were on. Their 4 wins in that span were against the Carolina Hurricanes in game 6 and game 7 of their last series and against the Lightning in game 1 and game 2 of this series while their loss came against the Lightning in their last game which was also game 3 of this series. They lost that game on the road 3-2. Mika Zibanejad and Chris Kreider each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Mika Zibanejad led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Igor Shesterkin was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 52 shots with 49 saves and a .942 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 254 goals this season averaging 3.1 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 207 goals against them allowing 2.5 goals per game.
Tampa Bay Lightning Analysis
The Lightning are coming into this game finishing the regular season with 110 points, a 51-23-8 record overall, and they were 27-8-6 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. Their 2 losses in that span were against the Rangers in game 1 and game 2 of this series while their win came against the Rangers in their last game which was also game 3 of this series. They won that game at home 3-2. Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos, and Ondřej Palát each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Steven Stamkos led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Andrei Vasilevskiy was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 30 shots with 28 saves and a .933 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 287 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 233 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.
Rangers vs Lightning Prediction
The Rangers are coming into this game as an underdog with the current betting odds. They are coming off of a loss in the last game of this series which cut their series lead down to 2-1 but they still played very well in that game and even had the Lightning on the ropes for a little with a 2-0 lead in that game. They started to relax a bit in that game though and then they took a few stupid penalties which allowed the Lightning to score and tie the game up eventually winning it late with 40 seconds left but, the Rangers will have learned their lesson from that game. They will likely come out harder in this game and if they get out to another early lead, they could suck the energy right out of that building. The Lightning also do not have much of a home advantage as there were a lot of Rangers fans in game 3 and they made their presence known with the Rangers chants that could be heard from the TV broadcast. The Lightning have all the pressure on them here as they are the back-to-back defending champions and they already have to win at least 1 game on the road to advance, they cannot afford to drop a game at home here. The Rangers have been the better team for most of this series and they are going to advance once this series is over. The best bet here is on the Rangers to win this game.
Rangers Lightning Prediction: Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, June 7, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Rangers 3 Lightning 2.
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NHL Betting Trends
New York Rangers: 62-37 (+20.3 Units) ML in all games. 17-11 (+7.8 Units) ML in a road game where the total is 5.5. 30-15 UNDER in a road game where the total is 5.5.
Tampa Bay Lightning: 27-19 (-4.3 Units) ML after playing a home game. 13-13 (-7 Units) ML off a close home win by 1 goal. 15-9 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive unders.
Key Injuries
New York Rangers: K. Kinkaid (G) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. S. Blais (LW) out for season - Knee. R. Strome (C) Ques Tues - Lower Body.
Tampa Bay Lightning: B. Point (C) Ques Tues - Lower Body. B. Seabrook (D) out for season - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“They were the better team tonight overall. It went right down to the wire and had a chance to win late. ... Disappointing ,but we’ll move on and get ready for the next one.” - Gerard Gallant after his team’s loss against the Lightning in game 3 on Sunday.
“We’ve been in spots like this. A big thing for us was, we felt we had a recipe, we just had to stay with it. I think there were times in the series where we’ve tried to manufacture things that weren’t there that put us on our heels, gave up opportunities. Whether it was a break, whatever it was, we weren’t in sync.” - Jon Cooper after his team’s win against the Rangers in game 3 on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
New York Rangers
LW Kreider, Chris
C Zibanejad, Mika
RW Vatrano, Frank
LD Lindgren, Ryan
RD Fox, Adam
G Shesterkin, Igor
Tampa Bay Lightning
LW Palat, Ondrej
C Stamkos, Steven
RW Kucherov, Nikita
LD Hedman, Victor
RD Rutta, Jan
G Vasilevskiy, Andrei
Statistical Leaders
New York Rangers
Points: A. Panarin (96)
Goals: C. Kreider (52)
Assists: A. Panarin (74)
GAA: I. Shesterkin (2.07)
Tampa Bay Lightning
Points: S. Stamkos (106)
Goals: S. Stamkos (42)
Assists: V. Hedman (65)
GAA: B. Elliott (2.43)
Coaches:
New York Rangers: Gerard Gallant (1st season)
Tampa Bay Lightning: Jon Cooper (10th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
