New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/12/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Wednesday, May 11, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Thursday, May 12, 2022
Venue:  Nationals Park, Washington, DC
Where to Watch:  MASN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -145, Nationals +125; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -145, Nationals +125; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -145, Nationals +125; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

New York Mets:  21-10 (1st place, NL East)
Washington Nationals:  10-21 (5th place, NL East)
 
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New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Mets:  6-4 last 10
Washington Nationals:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets are coming into this game with a 21-10 record overall and they are 12-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Nationals on Thursday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. Tylor Megill is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Taijuan Walker is on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 6 ER, 2 HRs, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 9 hits in 4 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies. They scored 16 runs in their last series averaging just over 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Washington Nationals Analysis

The Nationals are coming into this game with a 10-21 record overall and they are 7-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mets on Thursday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. Aaron Sanchez is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Joan Adon will be on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 1-5 with a 6.99 ERA this season. His team lost 5 of their last 6 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 5 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits in 5 IP against the Los Angeles Angels. They scored 11 runs in their last series averaging just under 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Mets vs Nationals Prediction

The Mets are coming into this game as a favorite with the current betting odds. They won the first game of this series and they are already 4-0 against the Nationals this season coming into this game. They have Walker starting in this game and he has been very inconsistent in his few starts this season coming back from an injury but he has had some games where he still pitched well and they are going up against a Nats side here with Adon on the mound who has not been pitching well this season. Adon has an ERA close to 7.00 and his team has lost every game but 1 that he started in this season. He has been allowing a lot of runs in their games and he is going to be going against a very potent lineup on the Mets here. These are the kinds of teams that the Mets should be able to sweep and they have been a team that is undervalued all season so far. The best bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
 
Mets Nationals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, May 12, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Mets 6 Nationals 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Mets: 21-10 (+8.9 Units) ML in all games. 12-5 (+6.1 Units) ML in road games. 8-3 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175.
Washington Nationals: 10-21 (-7 Units) ML in all games. 1-10 (-8.8 Units) ML as a home underdog of +100 or higher. 12-3 UNDER in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Mets:  S. Reid-Foley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. May (RP) Early July - Elbow. J. deGrom (SP) Late July - Shoulder.
Washington Nationals:  C. Kieboom (3B) Mid June - Forearm. A. Sanchez (SP) Out indefinitely - Neck. E. Adrianza (3B) Out indefinitely - Quadricep.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We're playing some really good baseball. Super happy with how we're playing. ... We're going to keep that up throughout the year." - Jeff McNeil after their win against the Nationals on Tuesday.
 
 
"I'm starting to sound like a broken record, but the walks and the errors are going to hurt us. Some of these errors that we're making are just — brutally honest — kind of lazy mistakes." - Dave Martinez after his team’s loss against the Mets on Tuesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Mark Canha (R) LF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
J.D. Davis (R) DH
Starling Marte (R) RF
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
James McCann (R) C
 
Washington Nationals
Cesar Hernandez (S) 2B
Juan Soto (L) RF
Josh Bell (S) 1B
Nelson Cruz (R) DH
Yadiel Hernandez (L) LF
Maikel Franco (R) 3B
Dee Strange-Gordon (L) SS
Riley Adams (R) C
Victor Robles (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Jeff McNeil (.333)
Hits:  Pete Alonso (33)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (7)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (26)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (4)
Wins:  Tylor Megill (4)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (7)
ERA:  Drew Smith (0.00)
 
Washington Nationals
Batting Average:  Josh Bell (.349)
Hits:  Josh Bell (37)
Home Runs:  Juan Soto (6)
RBI:  Josh Bell (21)
Stolen Bases:  Juan Soto (3)
Wins:  Josiah Gray (4)
Saves:  Tanner Rainey (3)
ERA:  Sean Doolittle (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)
Washington Nationals: Dave Martinez (5th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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