New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/11/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, May 10, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, May 11, 2022
Venue:  Nationals Park, Washington, DC
Where to Watch:  MASN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -190, Nationals +160; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -180, Nationals +160; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -190, Nationals +155; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

New York Mets:  20-10 (1st place, NL East)
Washington Nationals:  10-20 (5th place, NL East)
 
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New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Mets:  6-4 last 10
Washington Nationals:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets are coming into this game with a 20-10 record overall and they are 11-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1, had Monday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Nationals on Wednesday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Tylor Megill is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Taijuan Walker is on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 6 ER, 2 HRs, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 9 hits in 4 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies. They scored 16 runs in their last series averaging just over 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Washington Nationals Analysis

The Nationals are coming into this game with a 10-20 record overall and they are 7-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1, had Monday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Wednesday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Patrick Corbin is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Aaron Sanchez will be on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 1-2 with a 8.56 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 6 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits in 4.1 IP against the Colorado Rockies. They scored 11 runs in their last series averaging just under 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Mets vs Nationals Prediction

The Mets are coming into this game playing very well this season and they are currently leading their division as the Nationals sit at the bottom. The Mets have a great lineup and their pitching staff is very good as well but they have Walker starting here and he has been a bit of a wild card this season with his pitching, only starting in 2 games so far as well. This will likely be a high scoring game here going over the total with these two pitchers starting but even if Walker does have a bad game and allows a lot of runs here, the Mets still have a good chance of winning this game. Sanchez is starting for the Nationals here and he has not been pitching well in his recent starts. He has been allowing a lot of runs and against a team like the Mets, that is very dangerous here. The Mets already almost swept the Nats in 4 games in their first series of the season and that was on the road as well. The Mets are just a much better team and they will be able to bail Walker out with their hitting while the Nationals have been struggling and will not be able to pull this game back if it gets out of hand for them. The best bet here is on the Mets to win.
 
Mets Nationals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, May 11, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Mets 11 Nationals 6.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Mets: 20-10 (+7.8 Units) ML in all games. 11-5 (+5.1 Units) ML in road games. 16-11 OVER after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals.
Washington Nationals: 10-20 (-6 Units) ML in all games. 3-11 (-8.2 Units) ML in home games. 12-6 OVER against right-handed starters.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Mets:  S. Reid-Foley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. May (RP) Early July - Elbow. J. deGrom (SP) Late May - Shoulder.
Washington Nationals:  C. Kieboom (3B) Mid June - Forearm. A. Sanchez (SP) Out indefinitely - Neck. E. Adrianza (3B) Out indefinitely - Quadricep.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It felt good. Just wanted to do what I could to put a good swing on a pitch in the zone." - Pete Alonso after their win against the Phillies on Sunday.
 
 
"I thought I got away with one there with Trout and then come back face Ohtani and the slider stays too much on the plate and zone and he does what he needs to do. I was trying to go up on Rendon and didn't quite get up enough." - Tanner Rainy after their loss against the Angels on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Mark Canha (R) LF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Eduardo Escobar (S) DH
Starling Marte (R) RF
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
J.D. Davis (R) 3B
Tomas Nido (R) C
 
Washington Nationals
Cesar Hernandez (S) 2B
Juan Soto (L) RF
Josh Bell (S) 1B
Nelson Cruz (R) DH
Yadiel Hernandez (L) LF
Maikel Franco (R) 3B
Lane Thomas (R) CF
Riley Adams (R) C
Alcides Escobar (R) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Jeff McNeil (.323)
Hits:  Pete Alonso (32)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (7)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (26)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (4)
Wins:  Tylor Megill (4)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (6)
ERA:  Drew Smith (0.00)
 
Washington Nationals
Batting Average:  Yadiel Hernandez (.365)
Hits:  Cesar Hernandez (36)
Home Runs:  Juan Soto (6)
RBI:  Josh Bell (21)
Stolen Bases:  Juan Soto (3)
Wins:  Josiah Gray (4)
Saves:  Tanner Rainey (3)
ERA:  Sean Doolittle (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)
Washington Nationals: Dave Martinez (5th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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