New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/09/2024

Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Friday, August 9, 2024

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +100, Mariners -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +100, Mariners -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +100, Mariners -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

New York Mets:  60-54 (3rd place, NL East)

Seattle Mariners:  59-56 (2nd place, AL West)

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New York Mets:  5-5 last 10

Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10

The Mets won their 1-off game against the St Louis Cardinals in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-54 record overall and have a road record of 30-25. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Colorado Rockies still to be played on Thursday. The Mets lost the series opener of that series on Tuesday and won the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. David Peterson is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Jose Quintana is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-7 with a 3.95 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 4 BB with 4 Ks on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Los Angeles Angels.

The Mariners won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-56 record overall and have a home record of 33-26. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Friday with the 3rd game of their series against the Detroit Tigers still to be played on Thursday. The Mariners lost the 1st game of that series on Tuesday and the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .671 OPS. Bryan Woo is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Bryce Miller is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-7 with a 3.62 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have looked good in their games this season with their 59-56 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL West and fighting with the Astros for 1st place in the division. They have looked a lot better in their home games this season with their 33-26 home record. Meanwhile, the Mets have looked good in their games this season with their 60-54 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NL East and right behind the Braves in 2nd, fighting for a Wild Card spot. They have looked good in their road games too with their 30-25 road record. The Mets are going to have Quintana on the mound here and he is 6-7 with a 3.95 ERA. His team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he still has more losses than he has wins this season and he has been giving up quite a few runs lately, giving up 3 earned runs in his last start. The Mariners are going with Miller in this one and he has been really good this season but also the more consistent starter. He is 8-7 with a 3.62 ERA and has been giving up less runs in his starts, especially at home. His team has had a ton of success with him since he has more wins than losses and the team has also won 3 games in a row with him starting, He did give up 4 earned runs in his last start, but he will be looking to bounce back at home with a better performance in this one and the Mets have been cooling off lately too. This is a game with 2 good starting pitchers but the Mariners should be able to edge the Mets out at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game. 

Mets Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 9, 2024 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 3 Mets 2.

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New York Mets: 32-17 (+12.25 units) on the moneyline in their last 49 games. 33-24 (+11.85 units) on the runline in their last 57 games. 9-3 to the under in their last 12 away games. 

Seattle Mariners: 50-66 (-20.50 units) on the runline in their last 116 games. 35-47 (-14.10 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 82 games. 39-20 to the under in their last 59 home games.

New York Mets:  K. Senga (SP) out for season - Shoulder D. Nunez (SP) Early Aug - Forearm. C. Scott (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Garrett (RP) Late July - Elbow. D. Smith (RP) out of season - Elbow. B. Raley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Marte (CF) Mid July - Knee. S. Reid-Foley (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. R. Mauricio (SS) out for season - Knee.

Seattle Mariners:  G. Santos (SP) Out indefinitely - Bicep. J. Crawford (SS) Out indefinitely - Finger. J. Rodriguez (RF) Out indefinitely - Leg. D. Canzone (LF) Late July - Groin. J. Farmelo (CF) out for season - Knee. S. Haggerty (2B) out for season - Achilles. M. Brash (SP) out of season - Elbow. J. Kowar (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“For Lindor to come through there, to make that adjustment and go the other way. Not trying to get too big. Not trying to do too much. Taking what’s given and using the whole field, especially in a ballpark like this, when you probably are going to try to go for the seats.” - Carlos Mendoza after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Wednesday.

“It is one of those games where you got to keep it close. We did everything right, they just made a play. It happens in the major leagues every once in a while. (Meadows) made an outstanding play.” - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Tigers in their game on Wednesday.

F Lindor (S) SS

J Iglesias (R) 2B

J Martinez (R) DH

P Alonso (R) 1B

M Vientos (R) 3B

L Torrens (R) C

J McNeil (L) RF

H Bader (R) CF

T Taylor (R) LF

V Robles (R) CF

R Arozarena (R) LF

C Raleigh (S) DH

J Turner (R) 1B

J Polanco (S) 2B

D Moore (R) 3B

M Haniger (R) RF

M Garver (R) C

L Rivas (S) SS

Batting Average:  Jose Iglesias (.333)

Hits:  Francisco Lindor (118)

Home Runs:  Francisco Lindor (23)

RBI:  Brandon Nimmo (66)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (24)

Wins:  Sean Manaea (8)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (14)

ERA:  Brooks Raley (0.00)

Batting Average:  Samad Taylor (.400)

Hits:  Julio Rodríguez (101)

Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (24)

RBI:  Cal Raleigh (69)

Stolen Bases:  Dylan Moore (20)

Wins:  Luis Castillo (9)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (18)

ERA:  JT Chargois (0.00)

Managers:

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (1st season)

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (9th season)