New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants: Preview, Prediction & Odds -- Aug. 17, 2021

by Chuck Sommers

Game time: 9:45 p.m. ET
Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
Where to watch: SNY, NBC

Season-to-date
Mets: 59-58 (3rd place, NL East)
Giants: 76-42 (1st place, NL West)

Recent form (entering Monday)
Mets: Lost three straight
Giants: Won seven of eight

Projected lineup


Mets:
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Michael Conforto (L) RF
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Dominic Smith (L) LF
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
J.D. Davis (R) 3B
Jonathan Villar (S) SS
James McCann (R) C
Marcus Stroman (R) P

Giants:
Austin Slater (R) CF
Kris Bryant (R) RF
Buster Posey (R) C
Darin Ruf (R) LF
Evan Longoria (R) 3B
Brandon Crawford (L) SS
Wilmer Flores (R) 1B
Donovan Solano (R) 2B
Logan Webb (R) P

Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Giants -150, Mets +135
BetMGM: Giants -145, Mets +120
PointsBet: Giants -160, Mets +135 

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Mets - Giants preview


The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants will play Game 2 of their three-game series at Oracle Park on Tuesday.

At time of publishing, Game 1 is still underway on Monday night.

The GIants, the leaders of the National League West and holding the best record in baseball, has won seven of eight entering this home series. San Francisco took two of three over the Colorado Rockies this past weekend, capping it off with a 5-2 win on Sunday night.

San Francisco leads the division over the Los Angeles Dodgers by four games, but the Dodgers are on a three-game winning streak entering Monday. Both squads are 8-2 in their past 10.

Second baseman Tommy La Stella had one of his best games with the Giants, going 3-for-4 with two RBI against the Rockies.

Alex Wood got the victory after allowing two earned runs over 6.1 IP, improving to 10-3 on the year. Despite the 4.14 ERA, Wood has been one of the top pitchers in this stout San Francisco rotation.

One of those is Logan Webb, who will take the mound for the Giants on Tuesday. The 24-year-old right-hander is 6-3 with a 2.96 ERA to this point.

The Mets still find themselves within striking distance in the NL East after losing three straight games to the Dodgers this past weekend. After keeping things competitive the first two games, both going to the 10th inning, Max Scherzer and the Dodgers mowed down the Mets lineup and cruised to a 14-4 win at Citi Field.

Mets starter Carlos Carassco lasted only two innings to see the Dodgers sweep his team. He gave up six earned runs, three home runs on six hits for the loss. New York has fallen out of favor for first place in the NL East, trailing the first-place Atlanta Braves by 2.5 games. The Mets also find themselves 6.5 games out of the second wild card.

Marcus Stroman is expected to round out the starting pitchers list for the Mets. His first full season has been relatively decent, going 8-11 with a 2.79 ERA. With Jacob deGrom still on the IL, Stroman has become the Mets’ impromptu ace.

Betting trends


Don’t be surprised if this becomes a low-scoring game. The under has gone 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings, with the under being 5-1-1 in the last seven at San Francisco.

Considering the Mets have struggled to find offense, their 4-10 record in August is a good indication of that. As an underdog, the Mets are 17-28 (-7) this season with the under being 24-21.

The Giants have feasted on right-handed pitching this season, going 55-26 (+27.4). San Francisco is 7-1 when Webb pitches and is the favorite.

Prediction


Given at home and the Mets’ bats being inconsistent, we like the Giants in an easy-going game. Giants win 5-0.

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Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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