New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/25/2023

Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, June 25, 2023

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +150, Phillies -175; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +150, Phillies -175; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +150, Phillies -175; Over/Under:  9 runs

New York Mets:  34-41 (4th place, NL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  39-36 (3rd place, NL East)

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New York Mets:  3-7 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10

The Mets are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-41 record overall and have a road record of 17-26. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .715 OPS. Max Scherzer is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Carlos Carrasco is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 2-3 with a 6.34 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HR, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 3 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Phillies are entering this game off of a win in their last game but got swept 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Atlanta Braves in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-36 record overall and have a home record of 20-13. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. Cristopher Sánchez is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-4 with a 3.48 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have been surging lately after their terrible start to the season and they are now above .500, still fighting to climb the standings though. The Mets have been having a terrible season as they are in 4th place of their division with a losing record and their offense has been terrible too. The Phillies already have the better offense in their games lately but they also have the better pitching matchup here too. The Phillies are starting Wheeler in this game and he has been really consistent all season, pitching a lot better in his starts lately too. He is coming off a great start in his last one and he will have another good outing at home here with the Mets offense being so bad lately. The Mets also have Carrasco starting in this game and he has been terrible in his starts this season. He hasn't been bad in every start as he has had a few good performances but a majority of them have been bad and he has been really up and down from start to start. He just gave up 5 runs in his last start too and he won't pitch any better on the road here against a tough division rival when their offense has been getting a lot better lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Mets Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 25, 2023 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Mets 1.

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New York Mets: 34-41 (-20.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 5-17 (-11.5 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 17-6 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. CARLOS CARRASCO is 31-22 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Philadelphia Phillies: 91-81 (+4.8 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 120-83 (+11.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 7-3 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5. ZACK WHEELER is 20-11 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher.

New York Mets:  D. Smith (RP) Elig Mon - Suspension. J. Quintana (SP) Early July - Ribs. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.

Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Song (SP) Early July - Back. C. Sanchez (RP) Prob Sat - Hand. S. Dominguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

“Command has been the biggest issue.” - Buck Showalter on Tylor Megill after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Friday.

“We're playing really well. We just need to keep it going.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Friday.

Brandon Nimmo (L) CF

Starling Marte (R) RF

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Francisco Alvarez (R) C

Brett Baty (L) 3B

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Trea Turner (R) SS

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryce Harper (L) DH

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Alec Bohm (R) 1B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)

Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (79)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (23)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (51)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (20)

Wins:  Kodai Senga (6)

Saves:  David Robertson (10)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.324)

Hits:  Nick Castellanos (89)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (20)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (46)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (13)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (8)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (10)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.27)

Managers:

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)