New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/24/2023

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, June 24, 2023

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -105, Phillies -115; Over/Under:  10 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -105, Phillies -115; Over/Under:  10 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -105, Phillies -115; Over/Under:  10 runs

New York Mets:  34-40 (4th place, NL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  38-36 (3rd place, NL East)

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New York Mets:  4-6 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10

The Mets are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-40 record overall and have a road record of 17-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .719 OPS. Kodai Senga is their starting pitcher on Friday while Carlos Carrasco is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-3 with a 6.34 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HR, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 3 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Phillies are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak and got swept 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Atlanta Braves in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-36 record overall and have a home record of 19-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .736 OPS. Taijuan Walker is their starting pitcher on Friday while Cristopher Sánchez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 0-0 with a 3.24 ERA this season. His team won their only 2 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 1 hit through 4 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies just lost 2 games in a row at home against the Braves but they have been surging up the standings lately and are still a really hot team that will be looking to bounce back in this series with a weaker division opponent to beat up on now. The Mets have been terrible this season as they are under .500 overall and in 4th place of their division but their offense has also been really bad too and they have been in a slump over the last few weeks. It doesn't help that they are starting Carrasco in this game either since he has been really bad in his starts lately and has been giving up a ton of runs all season. The Phillies offense has been hot lately and they will be motivated to bounce back at home here, look for the Phillies offense to put up a ton of runs on Carrasco and the Mets bullpen which hasn't been great either. The Phillies have Sanchez on the mound here and he has been really good in his starts all year since he hasn't been giving up many runs in any of his starts and just pitched a scoreless outing in his last start. The Mets offense has already been bad and banged up so Sanchez will be able to keep them at bay here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Mets Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 24, 2023 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 7 Mets 4.

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New York Mets: 34-40 (-19.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 5-17 (-11.5 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 7-3 UNDER on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5. CARLOS CARRASCO is 31-22 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Philadelphia Phillies: 19-11 (+5.6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 119-83 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 7-2 UNDER at home when the total is 10 or higher. 15-9 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher.

New York Mets:  J. Walker (SP) Ques Fri - Leg. D. Smith (RP) Elig Mon - Suspension. J. Quintana (SP) Early July - Ribs. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.

Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Song (SP) Early July - Back. C. Sanchez (RP) Prob Fri - Hand. S. Dominguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

“Offensively we’re doing pretty good. We just needed to have a better pitching effort today to take advantage of them and we didn’t get it. Eight runs, you like your chances.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Astros in their game on Wednesday.

“It's a play I should make. I don't know how or why, but I have to catch it. It's not on Marte — the game is on me. I have to catch that ball. If I catch that ball, we can extend that game in the 10th. I saw it fine — just have to catch it.” - Kyle Schwarber after their loss against the Braves in their game on Thursday.

Brandon Nimmo (L) CF

Starling Marte (R) RF

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH

Brett Baty (L) 3B

Omar Narvaez (L) C

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Trea Turner (R) SS

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryce Harper (L) DH

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Kody Clemens (L) 1B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)

Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (78)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (23)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (51)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (20)

Wins:  Kodai Senga (6)

Saves:  David Robertson (10)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.324)

Hits:  Nick Castellanos (88)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (20)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (46)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (13)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (7)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (10)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.33)

Managers:

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)