New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/23/2023

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, June 23, 2023

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  Apple TV+

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -105, Phillies -115; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -105, Phillies -115; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -105, Phillies -115; Over/Under:  9 runs

New York Mets:  34-40 (4th place, NL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  38-35 (3rd place, NL East)

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New York Mets:  4-6 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10

The Mets are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-40 record overall and have a road record of 17-25. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .719 OPS. Tylor Megill was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while rookie pitcher Kodai Senga is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-4 with a 3.53 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 5 hits through 6.2 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Phillies are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-35 record overall and have a home record of 19-12. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Atlanta Braves still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Taijuan Walker is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-3 with a 4.31 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 8 strikeouts on 7 hits through 8 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have been really hot lately as they are now over .500 this season and have been climbing the standings lately. They hit a snag in their midweek series against the red hot Braves but they are still at home here and will be looking to bounce back in this series with another division rival on deck. The Mets haven't been great lately either as they are under .500 this season and have been slumping over the last few weeks, struggling to get out of this losing cycle. The Mets are going with Senga in this game as their starter but he has been really up and down in his starts and hasn't been as good in his road starts either. The Phillies may have hit a snag against the best in the division but they will have an easier time putting up runs in this series with their offense that has been getting hot and they will take advantage of the way the Mets have been playing so badly. The Phillies are going with Walker in this game too and he has not only been really good in his starts lately as he hasn't been giving up many runs, but he is also pitching against his old team from last season here and will be looking to have a great performance against the Mets here. This will be a game that the Phillies offense gets hot for, especially after the way they played at home against the Braves. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Mets Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 23, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Mets 3.

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New York Mets: 34-40 (-19.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 5-17 (-11.5 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 16-6 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 10-5 UNDER after scoring 8 runs or more. 

Philadelphia Phillies: 19-10 (+6.8 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 9-3 (+5.9 units) on the moneyline at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 6-3 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5. TAIJUAN WALKER is 24-15 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5.

New York Mets:  J. Walker (SP) Ques Fri - Leg. D. Smith (RP) Elig Mon - Suspension. J. Quintana (SP) Early July - Ribs. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.

Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Song (SP) Early July - Back. C. Sanchez (RP) Prob Fri - Hand. S. Dominguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

“Offensively we’re doing pretty good. We just needed to have a better pitching effort today to take advantage of them and we didn’t get it. Eight runs, you like your chances.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Astros in their game on Wednesday.

“He's made me a liar so many times because he's such a quick healer. I don't know.” - Rob Thomson on the return of Bryce Harper after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Tuesday.

Brandon Nimmo (L) CF

Starling Marte (R) RF

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH

Brett Baty (L) 3B

Omar Narvaez (L) C

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Trea Turner (R) SS

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryce Harper (L) DH

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Kody Clemens (L) 1B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)

Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (78)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (23)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (51)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (20)

Wins:  Kodai Senga (6)

Saves:  David Robertson (10)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.333)

Hits:  Nick Castellanos (88)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (20)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (45)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (12)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (7)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (10)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.40)

Managers:

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)