New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/13/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, Apr 12, 2022
Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Wednesday, April 13, 2022
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +100, Phillies -120; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +100, Phillies -120; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +100, Phillies -120; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

New York Mets:  3-2 (2nd place, NL East)
Philadelphia Phillies:  3-1 (1st place, NL East)
 
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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Mets:  3-2 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  3-1 last 10
 
 
 

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets are coming into this game with a 3-2 record overall and they are 3-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 4-game series against the Washington Nationals 3-1 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday night. This will be the series finale of the series on Wednesday night with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday night. Tylor Megill is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Max Scherzer will be on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA to start this season. His team won their last game with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 being a HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Washington Nationals. They scored 19 runs in their last series averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 8 runs against them averaging 2 runs allowed per game.
 

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies are coming into this game with a 3-1 record overall and they are 3-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Wednesday night. This will be the series finale of the series on Wednesday night with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday night. Zack Wheeler is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Aaron Nola will be on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 1-0 with a 6.00 ERA this season. His team won his last game with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 0 BB with 7 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Oakland Athletics. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging 4.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

The Mets have had a great start to the season but they lost their series finale with the Nationals and they likely lost some confidence after this series opener where they blew a 4-0 lead and lost 5-4. They spent a lot of money on their team in the offseason and they have high expectations this season so they need to be able to bounce back after back-to-back losses like that. They have their ace on the mound here though as Max Scherzer is starting and he has plenty of experience facing the Phillies from his years on the Nationals. He still has some gas left in the tank and their hitter will likely play their best here knowing they have their best shot in this game with him starting. Aaron Nola had an awful start in his first game this season for the Phillies and he will likely not bounce back as quick with this lineup staring him down. The Mets will be able to score some runs on him here while Scherzer keeps the Phillies from scoring that often. The Mets will win this game and back on the roll they were on to start the season.
 
Mets Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, April 13, 2022 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Mets 6 Phillies 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Mets: 28-59 (-23.8u) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 106-121 (-39.6u) ML in all games. 25-19 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150.
Philadelphia Phillies: 29-16 (+8.7u) ML at home with a money line of -100 to -150. 27-18 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Mets:  T. Walker (SP) Late April - Shoulder injury. E. Diaz (RP) Prob Tues - Personal. J. deGrom (SP) Late May - Shoulder injury.
Philadelphia Phillies:  C. Knebel (RP) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Norwood (RP) Out indefinitely - Personal. R. Marchan (C) Mid June - Hamstring injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"This one hurts. The good thing is, we've got a chance to take that hurt away tomorrow. That's the beauty of the game. Sometimes it can be cruel, like tonight." - Buck Showalter on his team’s loss against the Phillies on Monday night.
 
 
"I said it. Do I mean it? No. It's a frustrating night for me, obviously. Made a few mistakes in the field. Look, these people, these fans, they just want to win. You heard it, we come back, they're great. I'm just sorry to them. I don't mean that." - Alec Bohm after their win against the Mets on Monday.
 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Starling Marte (R) RF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Robinson Cano (L) DH
Mark Canha (R) LF
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
James McCann (R) C
 
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Bryce Harper (L) DH
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Didi Gregorius (L) SS
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Johan Camargo (S) 3B
Simon Muzziotti (L) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Mark Canha (.571)
Hits:  Mark Canha (8)
Home Runs:  Jeff McNeil (1)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (5)
Stolen Bases:  Travis Jankowski (2)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (1)
Saves:  N/A
ERA:  Chris Bassitt (0.00)
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Alec Bohm (1.000)
Hits:  Rhys Hoskins (5)
Home Runs:  Jean Segura (2)
RBI:  Rhys Hoskins (4)
Stolen Bases:  N/A
Wins:  Kyle Gibson (1)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (1)
ERA:  Kyle Gibson (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Joe Girardi (8th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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