by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jul 25, 2023
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, July 26, 2023
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch: YES
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mets +135, Yankees -155; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mets +135, Yankees -155; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mets +135, Yankees -155; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
New York Mets: 46-53 (4th place, NL East)
New York Yankees: 53-47 (4th place, AL East)
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Recent Form
New York Mets: 4-6 last 10
New York Yankees: 4-6 last 10
New York Mets vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis
The Mets are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-53 record overall and have a road record of 23-31. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .716 OPS. Justin Verlander is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while José Quintana is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Chicago White Sox.
The Yankees are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-47 record overall and have a home record of 31-23. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .709 OPS. Domingo Germán is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Carlos Rodón is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-3 with a 7.36 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers, and 5 BB with 3 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.
Mets vs Yankees Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mets listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets haven't been good this season with their losing record and an offense that hasn't been performing but this is the Subway Series and they will definitely be motivated to play at their best here. The Yankees have been beating up on bad teams lately but they haven't been that great themselves lately as they are right near the bottom of their own division. Their offense hasn't been that great this season either and the Mets can take advantage of that with this better pitching matchup here. The Mets have Quintana starting in this game and even though he has only made 1 start this season due to injury, he only gave up 2 runs in that start and has been a really reliable starter in past seasons. The Yankees have Rodon on the mound here and he has also been good in his past seasons, but he has been terrible in his 3 starts this year since coming back from his injury and the Mets offense will be able to take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get with how bad Rodon has been. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
Mets Yankees Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 26, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Mets 4 Yankees 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
New York Mets: 46-53 (-22.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 7-24 (-16.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 20-13 UNDER against left-handed starters. JOSE QUINTANA is 26-16 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.
New York Yankees: 21-6 (+10.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 13-4 (+6.6 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -150 to -200. 19-10 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175. CARLOS RODON is 20-12 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Key Injuries
New York Mets: L. Guillorme (2B) Out indefinitely - Ankle. S. Coonrod (RP) Early Aug - Back. T. Locastro (CF) Early Aug - Thumb. S. Marte (CF) Out indefinitely - Migraine. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
New York Yankees: G. Torres (SS) Ques Tues - Hip. F. Montas (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. L. Gil (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. A. Judge (RF) Early Aug - Toe. W. Calhoun (DH) Early Aug - Quadricep. J. Trevino (C) out for season - Wrist. J. Donaldson (3B) out for season - Calf. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. J. Cordero (RP) out for season - Suspension. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“He’s back in New York. He’s had three good days there. He’s had a lot of challenges this year physically that he hasn’t talked about.” - Buck Showalter on Starling Marte after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Sunday.
“I loved how he finished up the day with Barlow there, a long at-bat and maybe his best swing of the day, the ball he smoked back through the middle. So that’s him in position, on time and his contact right. Obviously he was able to do that all day, but really happy for him.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Royals in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Jeff McNeil (L) RF
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Mark Vientos (R) DH
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Mark Canha (R) LF
Omar Narvaez (L) C
Danny Mendick (R) 2B
New York Yankees
Jake Bauers (L) RF
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Harrison Bader (R) CF
Billy McKinney (L) LF
Oswald Peraza (R) SS
Kyle Higashioka (R) C
Statistical Leaders
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (99)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (26)
RBI: Pete Alonso (63)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (24)
Wins: Max Scherzer (8)
Saves: David Robertson (14)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Aaron Judge (.291)
Hits: Gleyber Torres (98)
Home Runs: Aaron Judge (19)
RBI: Gleyber Torres (43)
Stolen Bases: Anthony Volpe (17)
Wins: Gerrit Cole (9)
Saves: Clay Holmes (13)
ERA: Randy Vasquez (1.17)
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
