by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jul 24, 2023
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, July 25, 2023
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch: TBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mets -130, Yankees +110; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mets -130, Yankees +110; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mets -130, Yankees +110; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
New York Mets: 46-53 (4th place, NL East)
New York Yankees: 53-47 (4th place, AL East)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB: 85-67 ($9.0K) this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
New York Mets: 4-6 last 10
New York Yankees: 4-6 last 10
New York Mets vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis
The Mets are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-53 record overall and have a road record of 23-31. This is the series opener of a 2-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .716 OPS. Carlos Carrasco was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Justin Verlander is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-5 with a 3.47 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 3 hits through 8 IP against the Chicago White Sox.
The Yankees are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-47 record overall and have a home record of 31-23. This is the 1st game of a 2-game series with the Mets on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .709 OPS. Luis Severino was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Domingo Germán is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-6 with a 4.52 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 9 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.
Mets vs Yankees Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets haven't been great in their games lately and they have been struggling all season with their losing record but this is still the Subway Series so the Mets are going to give a good effort against the Yankees here. The Yankees were great in their last series but they were also beating up on a bottom feeder in the AL and they haven't been that great in their games lately either. The Yankees still have a winning record but sit near the bottom of their division and don't have a great offense either. The Mets also have the better pitching matchup here as they are going with Verlander in this game who hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts. He also has plenty of experience going toe-to-toe with the Yankees here and will have no problem shutting down this weak lineup that has been slumping all season. The Mets haven't had a great offense either but German is on the mound for the Yankees and he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts all year. The Mets will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get here while the Yankees struggle to put up runs on Verlander with the way he has been pitching lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
Mets Yankees Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 25, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Mets 3 Yankees 2.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today. And if you enjoyed this New York Mets New York Yankees prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.
MLB Betting Trends
New York Mets: 29-16 (+7.3 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 164-122 (+4.5 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 12-6 UNDER after a loss by 4 runs or more. JUSTIN VERLANDER is 32-13 UNDER in all games.
New York Yankees: 15-25 (-10.7 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 15-17 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. DOMINGO GERMAN is 8-2 UNDER in an inter-league game and 6-1 UNDER against NL East opponents.
Key Injuries
New York Mets: L. Guillorme (2B) Out indefinitely - Ankle. S. Coonrod (RP) Early Aug - Back. T. Locastro (CF) Early Aug - Thumb. S. Marte (CF) Out indefinitely - Migraine. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
New York Yankees: G. Torres (SS) Ques Mon - Hip. F. Montas (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. L. Gil (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. A. Judge (RF) Early Aug - Toe. W. Calhoun (DH) Early Aug - Quadricep. J. Trevino (C) out for season - Wrist. J. Donaldson (3B) out for season - Calf. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. J. Cordero (RP) out for season - Suspension. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“He’s back in New York. He’s had three good days there. He’s had a lot of challenges this year physically that he hasn’t talked about.” - Buck Showalter on Starling Marte after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Sunday.
“I loved how he finished up the day with Barlow there, a long at-bat and maybe his best swing of the day, the ball he smoked back through the middle. So that’s him in position, on time and his contact right. Obviously he was able to do that all day, but really happy for him.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Royals in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Jeff McNeil (L) RF
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Mark Vientos (R) DH
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Mark Canha (R) LF
Omar Narvaez (L) C
Danny Mendick (R) 2B
New York Yankees
Jake Bauers (L) RF
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Harrison Bader (R) CF
Billy McKinney (L) LF
Oswald Peraza (R) SS
Kyle Higashioka (R) C
Statistical Leaders
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (99)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (26)
RBI: Pete Alonso (63)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (24)
Wins: Max Scherzer (8)
Saves: David Robertson (14)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Aaron Judge (.291)
Hits: Gleyber Torres (98)
Home Runs: Aaron Judge (19)
RBI: Gleyber Torres (43)
Stolen Bases: Anthony Volpe (17)
Wins: Gerrit Cole (9)
Saves: Clay Holmes (13)
ERA: Randy Vasquez (1.17)
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
