New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/26/2021

by Big Al Staff

Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Sunday September 26, 2021
Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Where to Watch:  TBS

 

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +160, Brewers -190; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets NL, Brewers NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets NL, Brewers NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
 

Season Record

New York Mets:  73-80 (3rd place, NL East)
Milwaukee Brewers:  92-62 (1st place, NL Central)
 
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New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Mets:  2-8 last 10
Milwaukee Brewers:  3-7 last 10
 
 
 

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets are coming into this game after losing in the series opener on Friday between these two. That loss put them on a 3 game losing streak and they have also lost 7 of their last 8 games. This will be the series finale on Sunday between these two teams with Saturday's result still pending as that game has not been played yet. Rich Hill will be getting the nod for Saturday's game while Carlos Carrasco will be the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Sunday. He is 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA this season. He was credited with a loss in his last start but his team has won 3 of their last 4 games when he was the starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, both of them being homers, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies last Saturday. This will be his first time facing the Brewers lineup this season. Their offense has scored 9 runs in their last 3 games averaging 3 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 23 runs against them in that same span allowing almost 8 runs per game.
 

Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

The Brewers are coming into this game after winning the first of this series on Friday night. That win snapped a 5 game losing streak they were on as they had been swept by the St. Louis Cardinals in a four-game series in their previous one. This will be the 3rd and final game of the series on Sunday with Saturday's game still to be played, that result is pending. Corbin Burnes will be the starter on Saturday while Freddy Peralta will be throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Sunday. He is 9-5 with a 2.65 ERA this season. He has been credited with 2 straight losses and his team has lost 3 of their last 4 games with him on the mound. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 being a HR, and 1 BB with 9 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6 innings of work against the Cardinals last Monday. This will be his first time facing the Mets lineup this season. Their offense has scored 15 runs in their last 5 games averaging 3 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 26 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 5 runs per game.
 

 

Mets vs Brewers Prediction

The Brewers are likely angry after getting swept by the Cardinals in 4 games as they took it out of the Mets in the first game of this series with that 5-1 win. The Brewers batters are finally starting to hit the ball again as the playoffs are lurking around the corner. The Mets are now sitting 8 games back of the Wild Card and have pretty much lost all hope of making it. The Brewers need to start getting into playoff form so they will use this series to start heating up their bats. They have already scored 5 runs in the one game and will be looking to continue that. The best bet to make in this game is on the Brewers as they will start heating up for the playoff while the Mets are in a massive slump right now.
 
Mets Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday September 26, 2021 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 6 Mets 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Mets: 20-39 (-14 units) on the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher. 73-80 (-21.8 units) on the money line in all games.
Milwaukee Brewers: 73-46 (+12.8 units) on the money line against right-handed starters. 30-11 (+14 units) on the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Mets:  C. Carrasco (SP) Prob Sat - Thumb injury. N. Syndergaard (SP) Early Oct - Elbow injury. R. Gsellman (RP) Early Oct - Back injury.
Milwaukee Brewers:  D. Williams (RP) Ques Fri - Calf  injury. A. Perdomo (RP) out for season - Back  injury. R. Tellez (1B) Out indefinitely - Knee  injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
New York Mets: Pete Alonso is one player to watch here. He leads his team in hits, home runs, and in RBI. If anyone on this team can still produce some offense for this team it is him so look for him to keep fighting until the end of the season.
 
Milwaukee Brewers: Eduardo Escobar is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in hits and he will need to start heating up here with just a few games left before the playoffs start. Look for him to start to play in playoff mode as the season winds down.
 

Notable Quotes

"When you hit multiple homers in a game, you kind of like your chances. We were raking for a few months, then we had a tough week, which happens. We definitely haven't played as well as we would have liked, but every team in baseball goes through those little rough patches." - Christian Yelich after hitting a few homers on Friday.
 
 
"I'm definitely not getting away with much." - Tylor Megill after a bad performance on Friday.
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Mets
B. Nimmo CF
F. Lindor SS
J. Baez 2B
P. Alonso 1B
M. Conforto RF
J. Villar 3B
J. McCann C
J. McNeil LF
T. Megill P
 
Milwaukee Brewers
K. Wong 2B
W. Adames SS
C. Yelich LF
A. Garcia RF
O. Narvaez C
E. Escobar 3B
D. Vogelbach 1B
L. Cain CF
E. Lauer P

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  B. Nimmo (.299)
Hits:  P. Alonso (136)
Home Runs:  P. Alonso (35)
RBI:  P. Alonso (89)
Stolen Bases:  J. Baez (18)
Wins:  M. Stroman (9)
Saves:  E. Diaz (30)
ERA:  A. Loup (1.00)
 
Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  O. Narvaez (.274)
Hits:  E. Escobar (129)
Home Runs:  A. Garcia (29)
RBI:  A. Garcia (85)
Stolen Bases:  L. Cain (12)
Wins:  B. Suter (12)
Saves:  J. Hader (33)
ERA:  J. Hader (1.32)
 
Managers:
New York Mets: Luis Rojas (2nd season)
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (7th season)
 

Weather Forecast

78 degrees F partly cloudy, 43% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 12 mph wind speeds NE.


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